EredivisieMatchday 7

Groningen 3-0 Zwolle: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadium, Groningen
Referee:
Martin Van den Kerkhof

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Won75%

referee Martin Van den Kerkhof averages 2.4 cards a match, league average 3.2; our numbers: 2.5 cards against a league average of 3.2

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Won72%

    our numbers: 3.7 goals in total in this match, league average 3.3

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost9%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloGroningen162563%52%Draw19%26%Zwolle148618%21%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS66%59%O2.572%61%|exp. goals 2.0 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Zwolle1:1GroningenD
  2. Groningen2:2ZwolleD
  3. Zwolle2:0GroningenL
  4. Groningen0:0ZwolleD
  5. Zwolle1:1GroningenD
Groningen's record: 0 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.5under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Cardsleague cards2.5league 3.2under 3.5: 75%Expected cards: 2.5 in this match, 3.2 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.won · ended 2
RefereeM. Van den Kerkhof−1.2 cards vs average32 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.4 : 1.3total 3.7Attack/defence2.0 : 1.1total 3.1
Groningen : Zwolle
Most likely scores
Market1-18%2-19%2-07%1-0—3-18%3-06%Attack/defence1-110%2-110%2-09%1-08%3-17%3-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-18%1-110%2-12-19%2-110%2-02-07%2-09%1-01-0—1-08%3-13-18%3-17%3-03-06%3-06%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals89%82%82%
1X – home team avoid defeat82%79%79%
12 – no draw81%78%78%
Over 2.5 goals72%61%61%
Both teams to score: yes66%59%59%
1 – Groningen win63%57% · Elo 52%57%· Elo 52%
Over 3.5 goals51%38%38%
Under 3.5 goals49%62%62%
X2 – away team avoid defeat37%43%43%
Both teams to score: no34%41%41%
Under 2.5 goals28%39%39%
X – draw19%22% · Elo 26%22%· Elo 26%
2 – Zwolle win18%21% · Elo 21%21%· Elo 21%
Under 1.5 goals11%18%18%
Attack vs defence
Groningen attack vs Zwolle defenceattack1470defence1396+74 pts to the attack
Zwolle attack vs Groningen defenceattack1400defence1505−105 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Zwolle concede 2.8 goals per game
  • Groningen concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Groningen: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Groningen: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Zwolle: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Groningen842220:1414
16Zwolle81166:214
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Groningen vs Zwolle?

Groningen 3-0 Zwolle (half time 2-0).

Did the Groningen vs Zwolle tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip won.