EliteserienMatchday 24
Molde vs Start: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 4d 12hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%58%O2.572%66%|exp. goals 2.4 : 1.0
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Start1:1MoldeD
- Molde5:0StartW
- Start2:3MoldeW
- Start1:3MoldeW
- Molde3:1StartW
Molde's record: 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses4.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.8league 10.9over 10.5: 51%Expected corners: 10.8 in this match, 10.9 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.4league 3.3under 3.5: 55%Expected yellow cards: 3.4 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.7 : 1.0total 3.7Attack/defence2.4 : 1.0total 3.4
Molde : StartMost likely scores
Market2-09%2-19%1-17%3-08%3-18%1-0—Attack/defence2-010%2-110%1-18%3-08%3-18%1-08%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-09%2-010%2-12-19%2-110%1-11-17%1-18%3-03-08%3-08%3-13-18%3-18%1-01-0—1-08%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 89%86% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89%85% | 85% |
| 12 – no draw | 85%82% | 82% |
| 1 – Molde win | 74%68% · Elo 68% | 68%· Elo 68% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72%66% | 66% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59%58% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 51%44% | 44% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 49%56% | 56% |
| Both teams to score: no | 41%42% | 42% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 28%34% | 34% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 26%32% | 32% |
| X – draw | 15%18% · Elo 18% | 18%· Elo 18% |
| 2 – Start win | 11%14% · Elo 14% | 14%· Elo 14% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 11%15% | 15% |
Attack vs defence
Molde attack vs Start defenceattack1581defence1401+180 pts to the attack
Start attack vs Molde defenceattack1391defence1539−148 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 56%close to the league averageunderover 44%
We expect 9.2 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.556%55%
9.544%43%
10.532%35%
11.523%21%
Each team on its own
Moldewe expect 6.0, league average 5.2 · chance of over 5.5: 54%
Startwe expect 3.4, league average 4.0 · chance of over 4.5: 26%
Foulsleague average
Under 20.5 · 56%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 44%
We expect 20.0 in this match, 20.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.552%56%
20.544%52%
21.537%43%
22.531%35%
Each team on its own
Moldewe expect 10.6, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 48%
Startwe expect 9.4, league average 10.3 · chance of over 10.5: 34%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 53%close to the league averageunderover 47%
We expect 2.6 in this match, 2.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.572%73%
2.547%50%
3.526%28%
4.512%12%
Each team on its own
Moldewe expect 1.4, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 40%
Startwe expect 1.2, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 33%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- Emil BreivikMolde3 matches with a goal or assist1 goal, 2 assistsWent on 33%Season 59%
- Kristian Hemmingsen LonebuMolde3 matches with a goal or assist2 goals, 2 assistsWent on 33%Season 47%
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Start concede 2.0 goals per game
- Molde score 2.6 goals per game
- Molde: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Start: newly promoted
- Molde: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Start: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Molde | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 46:34 | 37 |
| 16 | Start | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 24:48 | 16 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Molde vs Start?
Molde are the favourites. Chances: Molde win 74%, draw 15%, Start win 11%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Molde vs Start?
Expected goals: 3.7 (Molde 2.7, Start 1.0). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 72%. Most likely score: 2-0.
Will both teams score in Molde vs Start?
The chance that both teams score is 59%.
When is Molde vs Start?
The Eliteserien match kicks off 18 October 2026, 16:00 (UK time).