EliteserienMatchday 23

Lillestrom 2-2 Molde: prediction, tips and result

·

Lillestrom
1-11-42-12-00-3
2-2Full time(half time 1-2)
Molde
1-25-12-04-33-2
Stadium:
Åråsen, Lillestrom
Referee:
Espen Eskas

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Both Teams To Score: YesWon71%

Molde: scored in each of their last 13 league matches

Other tips

  • Shots on Target – Lillestrom: Under 4.5Lost62%

    Lillestrom: 3.2 shots on target a match, Molde's opponents had 3.1 on average, league average 5.2; under 4.5 shots on target in 8 of their last 10 league matches, Molde's opponents had under 4.5 in 9 of 10 (46% of league matches)

  • Offsides: Over 2.5Lost60%

    2.7 offsides a match in the hosts' matches, 3.9 in the visitors', league average 2.7; our numbers: 3.1 offsides against a league average of 2.7

  • Fouls: Over 20.5Lost60%

    23.2 fouls a match in the hosts' matches, 21.7 in the visitors', league average 21.0

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost9%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloLillestrom154439%29%Draw24%26%Molde168737%45%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS70%60%O2.570%56%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.6both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Molde0:1LillestromW
  2. Lillestrom1:2MoldeL
  3. Molde3:0LillestromL
  4. Molde4:0LillestromL
  5. Lillestrom2:1MoldeW
Lillestrom's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.9league 10.9over 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.9 in this match, 10.9 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 10.5 corners.won · ended 13
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.5league 3.4under 3.5: 54%Expected yellow cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.lost · ended 4
RefereeE. Eskas−0.2 yellow cards vs average16 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)72%X22:1coverageleague 63% · H2H 4/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.8total 3.6Attack/defence1.4 : 1.6total 2.9
Lillestrom : Molde
Most likely scores
Market1-110%1-28%2-18%0-1—2-27%1-0—0-2—3-15%Attack/defence1-112%1-29%2-18%0-18%2-2—1-07%0-27%3-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-112%1-21-28%1-29%2-12-18%2-18%0-10-1—0-18%2-22-27%2-2—1-01-0—1-07%0-20-2—0-27%3-13-15%3-1—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals88%79%79%
12 – no draw76%75%75%
Over 2.5 goals70%56%56%
Our tip: Both teams to score: yes70%60%60%
1X – home team avoid defeat63%58%58%
X2 – away team avoid defeat61%67%67%
Under 3.5 goals52%66%66%
Over 3.5 goals48%34%34%
1 – Lillestrom win39%33% · Elo 29%33%· Elo 29%
2 – Molde win37%42% · Elo 45%42%· Elo 45%
Under 2.5 goals30%44%44%
Both teams to score: no30%41%41%
X – draw24%25% · Elo 26%25%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals12%21%21%
Attack vs defence
Lillestrom attack vs Molde defenceattack1417defence1538−121 pts to the attack
Molde attack vs Lillestrom defenceattack1579defence1468+111 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 9.3 in this match, 9.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
8.558%55%
9.545%43%
10.534%34%
11.524%21%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Lillestromwe expect 4.1, league average 5.2 · chance of over 5.5: 24%
Moldewe expect 5.1, league average 4.0 · chance of over 3.5: 73%
Foulsleague average
Over 20.5 · 60%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 40%over
We expect 22.3 in this match, 21.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
19.567%57%
20.560%52%
21.553%43%
22.546%35%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Lillestromwe expect 10.6, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 48%
Moldewe expect 11.8, league average 10.4 · chance of over 10.5: 61%
Referee: 20.3 fouls per match on average (13 matches in our data)+0.1 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 60%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 41%over
We expect 3.1 in this match, 2.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.581%74%
2.560%50%
3.538%28%
4.520%13%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Lillestromwe expect 1.8, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 52%
Moldewe expect 1.4, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 40%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Molde score 2.6 goals per game
  • Molde: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Lillestrom: newly promoted
  • Lillestrom: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Molde: 22 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Lillestrom

Molde

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Molde22114746:3437
6Lillestrom22103930:3133
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Lillestrom vs Molde?

Lillestrom 2-2 Molde (half time 1-2).

Did the Lillestrom vs Molde tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: Yes. The tip won.

See also