EliteserienMatchday 24
Sarpsborg 08 vs Rosenborg: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 4d 3hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS65%62%O2.563%60%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.5
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Rosenborg2:1Sarpsborg 08L
- Rosenborg2:3Sarpsborg 08W
- Sarpsborg 082:2RosenborgD
- Rosenborg1:1Sarpsborg 08D
- Sarpsborg 084:1RosenborgW
Sarpsborg 08's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss3.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners11.1league 10.9over 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 11.1 in this match, 10.9 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.3league 3.3under 3.5: 57%Expected yellow cards: 3.3 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.6total 3.2Attack/defence1.6 : 1.5total 3.1
Sarpsborg 08 : RosenborgMost likely scores
Market1-111%2-18%1-28%2-27%1-0—0-16%Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-28%2-27%1-07%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%2-12-18%2-19%1-21-28%1-28%2-22-27%2-27%1-01-0—1-07%0-10-16%0-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 84%81% | 81% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%76% | 76% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 65%62% | 62% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 64%60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63%60% | 60% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 61%64% | 64% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 59%63% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41%37% | 37% |
| 2 – Rosenborg win | 39%36% · Elo 40% | 36%· Elo 40% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 37%40% | 40% |
| 1 – Sarpsborg 08 win | 36%40% · Elo 34% | 40%· Elo 34% |
| Both teams to score: no | 35%38% | 38% |
| X – draw | 25%25% · Elo 27% | 25%· Elo 27% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 16%19% | 19% |
Attack vs defence
Sarpsborg 08 attack vs Rosenborg defenceattack1480defence1528−48 pts to the attack
Rosenborg attack vs Sarpsborg 08 defenceattack1571defence1495+76 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 51%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 49%
We expect 9.6 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.561%55%
9.549%43%
10.537%35%
11.527%21%
Each team on its own
Sarpsborg 08we expect 4.8, league average 5.2 · chance of over 5.5: 35%
Rosenborgwe expect 5.0, league average 4.0 · chance of over 4.5: 54%
Foulsleague average
Over 20.5 · 69%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 31%over
We expect 23.7 in this match, 20.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.576%56%
20.569%52%
21.563%43%
22.556%35%
Each team on its own
Sarpsborg 08we expect 11.0, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 53%
Rosenborgwe expect 13.0, league average 10.3 · chance of over 10.5: 72%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 53%close to the league averageunderover 47%
We expect 2.5 in this match, 2.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.572%73%
2.547%50%
3.525%28%
4.512%12%
Each team on its own
Sarpsborg 08we expect 1.4, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 40%
Rosenborgwe expect 1.2, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 32%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Rosenborg score 2.8 goals per game
- Rosenborg: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Sarpsborg 08: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Rosenborg: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rosenborg | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 40:31 | 34 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 28:31 | 28 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Sarpsborg 08 vs Rosenborg?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Sarpsborg 08 win 36%, draw 25%, Rosenborg win 39%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Sarpsborg 08 vs Rosenborg?
Expected goals: 3.2 (Sarpsborg 08 1.6, Rosenborg 1.6). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 63%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Sarpsborg 08 vs Rosenborg?
The chance that both teams score is 65%.
When is Sarpsborg 08 vs Rosenborg?
The Eliteserien match kicks off 18 October 2026, 13:30 (UK time).