EliteserienMatchday 24
Viking vs Fredrikstad: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 10hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%54%O2.570%62%|exp. goals 2.3 : 0.9
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Fredrikstad1:2VikingW
- Fredrikstad0:1VikingW
- Viking3:0FredrikstadW
- Fredrikstad3:2VikingL
- Viking1:1FredrikstadD
Viking's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners11.6league 10.9over 10.5: 60%Expected corners: 11.6 in this match, 10.9 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.3league 3.3under 3.5: 58%Expected yellow cards: 3.3 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.7 : 0.9total 3.6Attack/defence2.3 : 0.9total 3.2
Viking : FredrikstadMost likely scores
Market2-010%2-19%1-0—3-09%1-17%3-18%Attack/defence2-011%2-110%1-09%3-08%1-19%3-17%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-010%2-011%2-12-19%2-110%1-01-0—1-09%3-03-09%3-08%1-11-17%1-19%3-13-18%3-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 89%87% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88%83% | 83% |
| 12 – no draw | 85%81% | 81% |
| 1 – Viking win | 74%68% · Elo 72% | 68%· Elo 72% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70%62% | 62% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57%54% | 54% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 51%60% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 49%40% | 40% |
| Both teams to score: no | 43%46% | 46% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 30%38% | 38% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 26%32% | 32% |
| X – draw | 15%19% · Elo 17% | 19%· Elo 17% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 12%17% | 17% |
| 2 – Fredrikstad win | 11%13% · Elo 12% | 13%· Elo 12% |
Attack vs defence
Viking attack vs Fredrikstad defenceattack1689defence1538+151 pts to the attack
Fredrikstad attack vs Viking defenceattack1404defence1602−198 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 59%close to the league averageunderover 41%
We expect 9.0 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.554%55%
9.541%43%
10.530%35%
11.521%21%
Each team on its own
Vikingwe expect 5.2, league average 5.2 · chance of over 5.5: 42%
Fredrikstadwe expect 3.7, league average 4.0 · chance of over 4.5: 31%
Foulsleague average
Over 20.5 · 51%close to the league averageunder 49%over
We expect 20.9 in this match, 20.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.558%56%
20.551%52%
21.544%43%
22.537%35%
Each team on its own
Vikingwe expect 10.6, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 49%
Fredrikstadwe expect 10.3, league average 10.3 · chance of over 10.5: 45%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 61%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 39%over
We expect 3.2 in this match, 2.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.582%73%
2.561%50%
3.539%28%
4.522%12%
Each team on its own
Vikingwe expect 2.2, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 64%
Fredrikstadwe expect 1.1, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 29%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
Teams
- Viking16 wins in a row at homeoverall: 3Went on 77%League 50%Model 74%Record 17
- Viking14 matches in a row over 2.5 goals at homeWent on 66%League 62%Model 70%Record 22
- Viking16 matches unbeaten at homeoverall: 5Went on 82%League 71%Model 89%Record 33
Players
- Zlatko TripicViking5 matches with a goal or assist0 goals, 6 assistsWent on 42%Season 81%
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Viking score 2.5 goals per game
- Viking matches average 14.2 corners (league 10.9) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Viking: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Fredrikstad: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 56:20 | 53 |
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 26:33 | 29 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Viking vs Fredrikstad?
Viking are the favourites. Chances: Viking win 74%, draw 15%, Fredrikstad win 11%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Viking vs Fredrikstad?
Expected goals: 3.6 (Viking 2.7, Fredrikstad 0.9). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 70%. Most likely score: 2-0.
Will both teams score in Viking vs Fredrikstad?
The chance that both teams score is 57%.
When is Viking vs Fredrikstad?
The Eliteserien match kicks off 17 October 2026, 17:00 (UK time).