EliteserienMatchday 12
Viking vs Tromso: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 11d 9hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%O2.566%64%|exp. goals 2.2 : 1.1
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Tromso1:3VikingW
- Viking4:4TromsoD
- Tromso2:2VikingD
- Viking2:1TromsoW
- Viking3:4TromsoL
Viking's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss5.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners11.0league 10.9over 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 11.0 in this match, 10.9 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.3league 3.3under 3.5: 58%Expected yellow cards: 3.3 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model2.3 : 1.1total 3.4Attack/defence2.2 : 1.1total 3.3
Viking : TromsoMost likely scores
Model2-110%1-19%2-09%1-08%3-17%3-0—Attack/defence2-110%1-19%2-09%1-08%3-17%3-06%
ModelAttack/defence2-12-110%2-110%1-11-19%1-19%2-02-09%2-09%1-01-08%1-08%3-13-17%3-17%3-03-0—3-06%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 85%84% | 84% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 83%82% | 82% |
| 12 – no draw | 81%80% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66%64% | 64% |
| 1 – Viking win | 64%61% · Elo 64% | 61%· Elo 64% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 56%58% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44%42% | 42% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 36%39% | 39% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35%36% | 36% |
| X – draw | 19%21% · Elo 20% | 21%· Elo 20% |
| 2 – Tromso win | 17%18% · Elo 16% | 18%· Elo 16% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 15%16% | 16% |
Attack vs defence
Viking attack vs Tromso defenceattack1689defence1564+125 pts to the attack
Tromso attack vs Viking defenceattack1520defence1602−82 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 54%close to the league averageunderover 46%
We expect 9.4 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.558%55%
9.546%43%
10.534%35%
11.524%21%
Each team on its own
Vikingwe expect 5.1, league average 5.2 · chance of over 5.5: 40%
Tromsowe expect 4.3, league average 4.0 · chance of over 4.5: 43%
Foulsleague average
Over 20.5 · 67%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 33%over
We expect 23.3 in this match, 20.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.573%56%
20.567%52%
21.560%43%
22.553%35%
Each team on its own
Vikingwe expect 11.6, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 59%
Tromsowe expect 12.0, league average 10.3 · chance of over 10.5: 63%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 51%close to the league averageunderover 49%
We expect 2.7 in this match, 2.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.574%73%
2.549%50%
3.528%28%
4.513%12%
Each team on its own
Vikingwe expect 1.6, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 48%
Tromsowe expect 1.0, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 28%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Viking score 2.5 goals per game
- Tromso score 2.3 goals per game
- Viking matches average 14.2 corners (league 10.9) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Tromso matches average only 8.8 corners (league 10.9) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Viking: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Tromso: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 56:20 | 53 |
| 3 | Tromso | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 41:30 | 39 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Viking vs Tromso?
Viking are the favourites. Chances: Viking win 64%, draw 19%, Tromso win 17%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Viking vs Tromso?
Expected goals: 3.4 (Viking 2.3, Tromso 1.1). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 66%. Most likely score: 2-1.
When is Viking vs Tromso?
The Eliteserien match kicks off 25 October 2026, 13:30 (UK time).