1. LigaMatchday 12
Opole vs Pogon Siedlce: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 11d 8hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS46%O2.528%40%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.0
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Opole1:0Pogon SiedlceW
- Pogon Siedlce0:1OpoleW
- Pogon Siedlce0:1OpoleW
- Opole4:1Pogon SiedlceW
- Opole1:1Pogon SiedlceD
Opole's record: 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.9league 11.1under 11.5: 59%Expected corners: 10.9 in this match, 11.1 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 11.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.8league 3.8over 3.5: 53%Expected yellow cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.0 : 0.9total 1.8Attack/defence1.3 : 1.0total 2.3
Opole : Pogon SiedlceMost likely scores
Model0-017%1-015%1-114%0-113%2-1—2-08%Attack/defence0-011%1-013%1-114%0-110%2-18%2-08%
ModelAttack/defence0-00-017%0-011%1-01-015%1-013%1-11-114%1-114%0-10-113%0-110%2-12-1—2-18%2-02-08%2-08%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 89%80% | 80% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 72%60% | 60% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 70%71% | 71% |
| 12 – no draw | 66%71% | 71% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 64%59% | 59% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 55%66% | 66% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 45%34% | 34% |
| 1 – Opole win | 36%41% · Elo 40% | 41%· Elo 40% |
| X – draw | 34%29% · Elo 29% | 29%· Elo 29% |
| 2 – Pogon Siedlce win | 30%30% · Elo 31% | 30%· Elo 31% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 28%40% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 11%20% | 20% |
Attack vs defence
Opole attack vs Pogon Siedlce defenceattack1393defence1494−101 pts to the attack
Pogon Siedlce attack vs Opole defenceattack1407defence1525−118 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 7.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 7.4 in this match, 7.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.560%64%
7.545%48%
8.532%36%
9.522%28%
Each team on its own
Opolewe expect 3.9, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 35%
Pogon Siedlcewe expect 3.2, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 40%
Foulsleague average
Over 25.5 · 56%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 44%over
We expect 26.8 in this match, 25.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.24.562%54%
25.556%51%
26.549%44%
27.543%36%
Each team on its own
Opolewe expect 15.8, league average 13.1 · chance of over 13.5: 68%
Pogon Siedlcewe expect 11.2, league average 12.6 · chance of over 12.5: 34%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 59%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 41%
We expect 2.3 in this match, 2.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.567%74%
2.541%49%
3.521%28%
4.59%16%
Each team on its own
Opolewe expect 1.1, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 31%
Pogon Siedlcewe expect 1.1, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 31%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Opole: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Opole: 9 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Pogon Siedlce: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pogon Siedlce | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:8 | 12 |
| 12 | Opole | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8:9 | 12 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Opole vs Pogon Siedlce?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Opole win 36%, draw 34%, Pogon Siedlce win 30%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Opole vs Pogon Siedlce?
Expected goals: 1.8 (Opole 1.0, Pogon Siedlce 0.9). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 28%. Most likely score: 0-0.
When is Opole vs Pogon Siedlce?
The 1. Liga match kicks off 25 October 2026, 11:00 (UK time).