1. LigaMatchday 11
Polonia vs Glogow: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 7hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%54%O2.554%50%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.2
H2Hlast 2 meetings
- Polonia2:0GlogowW
- Glogow0:1PoloniaW
Polonia's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses1.5 goals per match
too few to read anything intoCornersleague corners10.6league 11.1under 11.5: 62%Expected corners: 10.6 in this match, 11.1 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 11.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.8over 3.5: 50%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.1total 2.8Attack/defence1.5 : 1.2total 2.7
Polonia : GlogowMost likely scores
Market1-112%1-09%2-110%2-08%0-1—0-07%Attack/defence1-113%1-010%2-19%2-08%0-18%0-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%1-01-09%1-010%2-12-110%2-19%2-02-08%2-08%0-10-1—0-18%0-00-07%0-07%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 78%74% | 74% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 75%71% | 71% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69%72% | 72% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56%54% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54%50% | 50% |
| 1 – Polonia win | 50%45% · Elo 40% | 45%· Elo 40% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 50%55% | 55% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46%50% | 50% |
| Both teams to score: no | 44%46% | 46% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31%28% | 28% |
| X – draw | 25%26% · Elo 29% | 26%· Elo 29% |
| 2 – Glogow win | 25%29% · Elo 31% | 29%· Elo 31% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 22%26% | 26% |
Attack vs defence
Polonia attack vs Glogow defenceattack1509defence1512−3 pts to the attack
Glogow attack vs Polonia defenceattack1442defence1488−46 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 7.5 · 50%close to the league averageunder 50%over
We expect 7.7 in this match, 7.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.564%64%
7.550%48%
8.537%36%
9.526%28%
Each team on its own
Poloniawe expect 4.2, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 41%
Glogowwe expect 3.4, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 43%
Foulsleague average
Over 25.5 · 53%close to the league averageunder 47%over
We expect 26.4 in this match, 25.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.24.560%54%
25.553%51%
26.547%44%
27.541%36%
Each team on its own
Poloniawe expect 14.1, league average 13.1 · chance of over 13.5: 53%
Glogowwe expect 12.4, league average 12.6 · chance of over 12.5: 46%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 53%close to the league averageunderover 47%
We expect 2.5 in this match, 2.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.572%74%
2.547%49%
3.525%28%
4.512%16%
Each team on its own
Poloniawe expect 1.6, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 46%
Glogowwe expect 0.9, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 24%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- Polonia4 draws in a row at homeWent on 28%League 27%Model 25%Record 7
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Glogow matches average only 8.9 corners (league 11.1) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Polonia: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Glogow: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Glogow | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:12 | 12 |
| 13 | Polonia | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 15:17 | 12 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Polonia vs Glogow?
Polonia are the favourites. Chances: Polonia win 50%, draw 25%, Glogow win 25%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Polonia vs Glogow?
Expected goals: 2.8 (Polonia 1.7, Glogow 1.1). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 54%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Polonia vs Glogow?
The chance that both teams score is 56%.
When is Polonia vs Glogow?
The 1. Liga match kicks off 17 October 2026, 14:30 (UK time).