1. LigaMatchday 12
Stal Mielec vs Glogow: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 10hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%O2.559%54%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.3
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Glogow2:1Stal MielecL
- Stal Mielec1:2GlogowL
- Stal Mielec1:0GlogowW
- Glogow1:0Stal MielecL
- Stal Mielec5:1GlogowW
Stal Mielec's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.6league 11.1under 11.5: 62%Expected corners: 10.6 in this match, 11.1 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 11.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.8over 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.5 : 1.6total 3.1Attack/defence1.5 : 1.3total 2.8
Stal Mielec : GlogowMost likely scores
Model1-112%2-18%1-29%1-0—0-17%2-0—2-26%Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-28%1-08%0-18%2-07%2-2—
ModelAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%2-12-18%2-19%1-21-29%1-28%1-01-0—1-08%0-10-17%0-18%2-02-0—2-07%2-22-26%2-2—
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 82%77% | 77% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%74% | 74% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 64%60% | 60% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 63%69% | 69% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 62%66% | 66% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59%54% | 54% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41%46% | 46% |
| 2 – Glogow win | 38%34% · Elo 30% | 34%· Elo 30% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37%31% | 31% |
| 1 – Stal Mielec win | 37%40% · Elo 41% | 40%· Elo 41% |
| X – draw | 25%26% · Elo 29% | 26%· Elo 29% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 18%23% | 23% |
Attack vs defence
Stal Mielec attack vs Glogow defenceattack1504defence1512−8 pts to the attack
Glogow attack vs Stal Mielec defenceattack1442defence1408+34 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 7.5 · 54%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 46%over
We expect 8.0 in this match, 7.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.567%64%
7.554%48%
8.541%36%
9.529%28%
Each team on its own
Stal Mielecwe expect 4.3, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 42%
Glogowwe expect 3.7, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 51%
Foulsleague average
Under 25.5 · 58%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 42%
We expect 24.6 in this match, 25.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.24.549%54%
25.542%51%
26.536%44%
27.530%36%
Each team on its own
Stal Mielecwe expect 12.2, league average 13.1 · chance of over 13.5: 34%
Glogowwe expect 12.3, league average 12.6 · chance of over 12.5: 46%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 52%close to the league averageunderover 48%
We expect 2.6 in this match, 2.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.573%74%
2.548%49%
3.527%28%
4.513%16%
Each team on its own
Stal Mielecwe expect 1.4, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 39%
Glogowwe expect 1.2, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 35%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Stal Mielec concede 2.4 goals per game
- Glogow matches average only 8.9 corners (league 11.1) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Stal Mielec: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Glogow: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Glogow | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:12 | 12 |
| 14 | Stal Mielec | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:24 | 12 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Stal Mielec vs Glogow?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Stal Mielec win 37%, draw 25%, Glogow win 38%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Stal Mielec vs Glogow?
Expected goals: 3.1 (Stal Mielec 1.5, Glogow 1.6). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 59%. Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Stal Mielec vs Glogow?
The 1. Liga match kicks off 24 October 2026, 14:30 (UK time).