1. LigaMatchday 12
Warta Poznan vs LKS Lodz: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 12d 9hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%O2.553%55%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.3
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- LKS Lodz3:1Warta PoznanL
- Warta Poznan2:4LKS LodzL
- Warta Poznan0:1LKS LodzL
- LKS Lodz0:2Warta PoznanW
- LKS Lodz3:0Warta PoznanL
Warta Poznan's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners11.0league 11.1under 11.5: 58%Expected corners: 11.0 in this match, 11.1 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 11.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.8over 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.3 : 1.5total 2.8Attack/defence1.6 : 1.3total 2.9
Warta Poznan : LKS LodzMost likely scores
Model1-113%1-29%2-17%0-19%1-0—0-27%2-0—Attack/defence1-112%1-28%2-19%0-17%1-09%0-2—2-07%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-17%2-19%0-10-19%0-17%1-01-0—1-09%0-20-27%0-2—2-02-0—2-07%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 77%78% | 78% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%75% | 75% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 70%57% | 57% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70%68% | 68% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 57%69% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53%55% | 55% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48%45% | 45% |
| 2 – LKS Lodz win | 43%31% · Elo 37% | 31%· Elo 37% |
| 1 – Warta Poznan win | 30%43% · Elo 34% | 43%· Elo 34% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30%32% | 32% |
| X – draw | 27%25% · Elo 29% | 25%· Elo 29% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 23%22% | 22% |
Attack vs defence
Warta Poznan attack vs LKS Lodz defenceattack1555defence1534+21 pts to the attack
LKS Lodz attack vs Warta Poznan defenceattack1537defence1518+19 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 7.5 · 54%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 46%over
We expect 8.0 in this match, 7.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.567%64%
7.554%48%
8.541%36%
9.529%28%
Each team on its own
Warta Poznanwe expect 4.2, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 41%
LKS Lodzwe expect 3.8, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 52%
Foulsleague average
Under 25.5 · 56%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 44%
We expect 24.8 in this match, 25.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.24.550%54%
25.544%51%
26.537%44%
27.532%36%
Each team on its own
Warta Poznanwe expect 11.3, league average 13.1 · chance of over 13.5: 26%
LKS Lodzwe expect 13.4, league average 12.6 · chance of over 12.5: 56%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 51%close to the league averageunderover 49%
We expect 2.6 in this match, 2.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.573%74%
2.549%49%
3.527%28%
4.513%16%
Each team on its own
Warta Poznanwe expect 1.1, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 30%
LKS Lodzwe expect 1.5, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 45%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Warta Poznan: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Warta Poznan: newly promoted
- Warta Poznan: 10 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- LKS Lodz: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Warta Poznan | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 6 | LKS Lodz | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:11 | 15 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Warta Poznan vs LKS Lodz?
LKS Lodz are the favourites. Chances: Warta Poznan win 30%, draw 27%, LKS Lodz win 43%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Warta Poznan vs LKS Lodz?
Expected goals: 2.8 (Warta Poznan 1.3, LKS Lodz 1.5). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 53%. Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Warta Poznan vs LKS Lodz?
The 1. Liga match kicks off 26 October 2026, 17:00 (UK time).