EkstraklasaMatchday 11
GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%57%O2.562%53%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.3
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Pogon Szczecin1:1GKS KatowiceD
- GKS Katowice2:0Pogon SzczecinW
- Pogon Szczecin4:0GKS KatowiceL
- GKS Katowice3:1Pogon SzczecinW
- Pogon Szczecin1:0GKS KatowiceL
GKS Katowice's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.4league 9.7under 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.4 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.0league 4.0over 3.5: 56%Expected yellow cards: 4.0 in this match, 4.0 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.4total 3.2Attack/defence1.5 : 1.3total 2.8
GKS Katowice : Pogon SzczecinMost likely scores
Market1-111%2-19%1-07%1-27%0-1—2-07%Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-09%1-28%0-17%2-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-07%1-09%1-21-27%1-28%0-10-1—0-17%2-02-07%2-07%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 84%77% | 77% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%74% | 74% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 71%69% | 69% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64%57% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62%53% | 53% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 60%69% | 69% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 54%57% | 57% |
| 1 – GKS Katowice win | 46%43% · Elo 40% | 43%· Elo 40% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40%31% | 31% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38%47% | 47% |
| Both teams to score: no | 36%43% | 43% |
| 2 – Pogon Szczecin win | 29%31% · Elo 31% | 31%· Elo 31% |
| X – draw | 25%26% · Elo 29% | 26%· Elo 29% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 16%23% | 23% |
Attack vs defence
GKS Katowice attack vs Pogon Szczecin defenceattack1529defence1544−15 pts to the attack
Pogon Szczecin attack vs GKS Katowice defenceattack1501defence1485+16 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 53%close to the league averageunderover 48%
We expect 8.5 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.561%61%
8.548%52%
9.535%39%
10.525%24%
Each team on its own
GKS Katowicewe expect 4.9, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 53%
Pogon Szczecinwe expect 3.6, league average 3.9 · chance of over 3.5: 47%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 64%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 36%
We expect 21.8 in this match, 23.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.543%60%
23.536%53%
24.530%48%
25.525%42%
Each team on its own
GKS Katowicewe expect 10.1, league average 11.9 · chance of over 11.5: 32%
Pogon Szczecinwe expect 11.5, league average 12.0 · chance of over 12.5: 37%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 59%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 41%over
We expect 3.1 in this match, 2.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.581%75%
2.559%50%
3.537%32%
4.520%17%
Each team on its own
GKS Katowicewe expect 1.3, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 37%
Pogon Szczecinwe expect 1.8, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 52%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- GKS Katowice7 matches in a row over 2.5 goalsWent on 59%League 63%Model 62%Record 14
- GKS Katowice13 matches unbeaten at homeoverall: 3Went on 81%League 68%Model 71%Record 38
Worth knowing before kick-off
- GKS Katowice: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Pogon Szczecin matches average only 7.7 corners (league 9.7) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Pogon Szczecin: unbeaten in 8 matches
- GKS Katowice: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Pogon Szczecin: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pogon Szczecin | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 5 | GKS Katowice | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 22:15 | 18 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin?
GKS Katowice are the favourites. Chances: GKS Katowice win 46%, draw 25%, Pogon Szczecin win 29%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin?
Expected goals: 3.2 (GKS Katowice 1.8, Pogon Szczecin 1.4). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 62%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin?
The chance that both teams score is 64%.
When is GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin?
The Ekstraklasa match kicks off 17 October 2026, 16:30 (UK time).