EkstraklasaMatchday 9

Lech Poznan 5-1 Radomiak Radom: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Stadium Poznan, Poznan (attendance: 19,478)
Referee:
Jaroslaw Przybyl

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won71%

our numbers: 3.6 goals in total in this match, league average 2.8; over 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

Other tips

  • Match Result: Lech PoznanWon71%

    Lech Poznan: won 5 of their last 7 league matches; won 3 of their last 4 league matches at home

  • Corners: Over 9.5Won56%

    11.0 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 11.4 in the visitors', league average 9.8

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Won50%

over 3.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings; our numbers: 3.6 goals in total in this match, league average 2.8

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloLech Poznan180971%68%Draw16%20%Radomiak Radom154913%13%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%56%O2.571%60%|exp. goals 2.1 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Radomiak Radom1:3Lech PoznanW
  2. Lech Poznan4:1Radomiak RadomW
  3. Radomiak Radom2:2Lech PoznanD
  4. Lech Poznan2:1Radomiak RadomW
  5. Radomiak Radom2:2Lech PoznanD
Lech Poznan's record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses4.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 9.8over 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 9.8 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 16
Cardsleague cards4.1league 4.1under 4.5: 61%Expected cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 3
RefereeJ. Przybyl−0.3 cards vs average29 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.6 : 1.0total 3.6Attack/defence2.1 : 1.0total 3.1
Lech Poznan : Radomiak Radom
Most likely scores
Market2-19%1-18%2-09%1-0—3-18%3-08%Attack/defence2-110%1-110%2-010%1-09%3-17%3-07%
MarketAttack/defence2-12-19%2-110%1-11-18%1-110%2-02-09%2-010%1-01-0—1-09%3-13-18%3-17%3-03-08%3-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals88%82%82%
1X – home team avoid defeat87%83%83%
12 – no draw84%79%79%
1 – Lech Poznan win71%62% · Elo 68%62%· Elo 68%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals71%60%60%
Both teams to score: yes60%56%56%
Over 3.5 goals50%38%38%
Under 3.5 goals50%62%62%
Both teams to score: no40%44%44%
X2 – away team avoid defeat29%38%38%
Under 2.5 goals29%40%40%
X – draw16%21% · Elo 20%21%· Elo 20%
2 – Radomiak Radom win13%17% · Elo 13%17%· Elo 13%
Under 1.5 goals12%18%18%
Attack vs defence
Lech Poznan attack vs Radomiak Radom defenceattack1604defence1438+166 pts to the attack
Radomiak Radom attack vs Lech Poznan defenceattack1479defence1571−92 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Radomiak Radom concede 2.4 goals per game
  • Lech Poznan: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Radomiak Radom: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Lech Poznan971121:822
16Radomiak Radom102269:238
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Lech Poznan vs Radomiak Radom?

Lech Poznan 5-1 Radomiak Radom (half time 3-1).

Did the Lech Poznan vs Radomiak Radom tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.