EkstraklasaMatchday 8
Gornik Z. 2-1 Lech Poznan: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, Zabrze
- Referee:
- Wojciech Myc
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Lost67%
referee Wojciech Myc averages 3.6 cards a match, league average 4.1
Other tips
- Total Goals: Over 2.5Won58%
over 2.5 goals in 5 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 6 (53% of league matches)
For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Lost49%
referee Wojciech Myc averages 3.6 cards a match, league average 4.1
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%55%O2.558%51%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Gornik Z.0:1Lech PoznanL
- Lech Poznan2:1Gornik Z.L
- Gornik Z.2:1Lech PoznanW
- Lech Poznan2:0Gornik Z.L
- Gornik Z.0:0Lech PoznanD
Gornik Z.'s record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 9.9over 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 9
Cardsleague cards3.8league 4.1under 4.5: 67%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 7%.lost · ended 7
RefereeW. Myc−0.6 cards vs average31 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.6total 3.0Attack/defence1.4 : 1.3total 2.7
Gornik Z. : Lech PoznanMost likely scores
Market1-112%1-29%1-0—2-18%0-17%0-0—2-26%Attack/defence1-113%1-28%1-09%2-19%0-18%0-07%2-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%1-21-29%1-28%1-01-0—1-09%2-12-18%2-19%0-10-17%0-18%0-00-0—0-07%2-22-26%2-2—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 81%75% | 75% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%73% | 73% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 67%61% | 61% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 64%72% | 72% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 61%55% | 55% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 60%65% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58%51% | 51% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42%50% | 50% |
| 2 – Lech Poznan win | 40%35% · Elo 45% | 35%· Elo 45% |
| Both teams to score: no | 39%45% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36%28% | 28% |
| 1 – Gornik Z. win | 33%39% · Elo 27% | 39%· Elo 27% |
| X – draw | 27%27% · Elo 28% | 27%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19%25% | 25% |
Attack vs defence
Gornik Z. attack vs Lech Poznan defenceattack1519defence1569−50 pts to the attack
Lech Poznan attack vs Gornik Z. defenceattack1610defence1562+48 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Lech Poznan: 5 wins in a row
- Gornik Z. concede a lot late on: 10 of 19 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Gornik Z.: 6 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
- Lech Poznan: 6 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gornik Z. | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19:9 | 25 |
| 2 | Lech Poznan | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21:8 | 22 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Gornik Z. vs Lech Poznan?
Gornik Z. 2-1 Lech Poznan (half time 0-1).
Did the Gornik Z. vs Lech Poznan tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip lost.