EkstraklasaMatchday 10

Slask Wroclaw 1-4 Lech Poznan: prediction, tips and result

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Slask Wroclaw
3-31-11-21-21-2
1-4Full time(half time 0-1)
Lech Poznan
5-11-21-02-13-2
Stadium:
Wroclaw Stadium, Wroclaw
Referee:
Patryk Gryckiewicz

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Cards – Lech Poznan (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5Lost64%

Lech Poznan: under 2.5 card points in 7 of their last 8 league matches, Slask Wroclaw's opponents collected under 2.5 card points in 7 of 9 (58% of league matches); scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

Other tips

  • Match Result: Lech PoznanWon60%

    Lech Poznan: won 6 of their last 8 league matches; Slask Wroclaw: winless in their last 7 league matches

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Won64%

    over 2.5 goals in 7 of the hosts' last 9 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 8 (54% of league matches); our numbers: 3.3 goals in total in this match, league average 2.8

  • Shots on Target – Lech Poznan: Over 4.5Won59%

    Lech Poznan: 7.0 shots on target a match, Slask Wroclaw's opponents had 5.2 on average, league average 3.9; over 4.5 shots on target in 7 of their last 8 league matches, Slask Wroclaw's opponents had over 4.5 in 6 of 9 (35% of league matches)

  • Fouls – Lech Poznan: Under 11.5Won58%

    our numbers for Lech Poznan: 11.0 fouls against a league average of 12.0

  • Offsides – Lech Poznan: Under 1.5Lost68%

    Lech Poznan: under 1.5 offsides in 6 of their last 8 league matches, Slask Wroclaw's opponents were caught offside under 1.5 times in 7 of 9 (62% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:2Lost10%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloSlask Wroclaw152420%17%Draw22%24%Lech Poznan180958%59%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS62%61%O2.564%59%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.8both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Slask Wroclaw3:1Lech PoznanW
  2. Lech Poznan1:0Slask WroclawL
  3. Lech Poznan0:0Slask WroclawD
  4. Slask Wroclaw3:1Lech PoznanW
  5. Slask Wroclaw2:1Lech PoznanW
Slask Wroclaw's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 9.8over 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 9.8 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 7
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.0league 4.0over 3.5: 56%Expected yellow cards: 4.0 in this match, 4.0 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 17%.won · ended 6
RefereeP. Gryckiewicz+0.2 yellow cards vs average31 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)70%BTTS yes0:2coverageleague 63% · H2H 3/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 2.1total 3.3Attack/defence1.3 : 1.8total 3.1
Slask Wroclaw : Lech Poznan
Most likely scores
Market1-110%1-210%0-28%0-17%2-1—1-37%2-2—Attack/defence1-111%1-29%0-27%0-18%2-17%1-3—2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%1-21-210%1-29%0-20-28%0-27%0-10-17%0-18%2-12-1—2-17%1-31-37%1-3—2-22-2—2-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals85%81%81%
X2 – away team avoid defeat80%71%71%
12 – no draw78%76%76%
Over 2.5 goals64%59%59%
Both teams to score: yes62%61%61%
2 – Lech Poznan win58%47% · Elo 59%47%· Elo 59%
Under 3.5 goals58%63%63%
1X – home team avoid defeat42%53%53%
Over 3.5 goals42%37%37%
Both teams to score: no38%39%39%
Under 2.5 goals36%41%41%
X – draw22%24% · Elo 24%24%· Elo 24%
1 – Slask Wroclaw win20%29% · Elo 17%29%· Elo 17%
Under 1.5 goals15%19%19%
Attack vs defence
Slask Wroclaw attack vs Lech Poznan defenceattack1477defence1573−96 pts to the attack
Lech Poznan attack vs Slask Wroclaw defenceattack1617defence1421+196 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 56%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 44%over
We expect 9.2 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.569%61%
8.556%51%
9.544%39%
10.532%24%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Slask Wroclawwe expect 4.1, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 39%
Lech Poznanwe expect 5.3, league average 3.9 · chance of over 3.5: 75%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 50%close to the league averageunderover 50%
We expect 23.8 in this match, 23.8 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
22.557%59%
23.550%52%
24.543%47%
25.537%41%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Slask Wroclawwe expect 11.6, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 48%
Lech Poznanwe expect 11.0, league average 12.0 · chance of over 11.5: 42%
Referee: 23.9 fouls per match on average (26 matches in our data)+1.9 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 53%close to the league averageunder 47%over
We expect 2.8 in this match, 2.8 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.577%75%
2.553%50%
3.531%32%
4.516%17%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Slask Wroclawwe expect 1.7, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 49%
Lech Poznanwe expect 1.2, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 32%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Lech Poznan: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Slask Wroclaw: no win in 7 matches
  • Slask Wroclaw: newly promoted
  • Slask Wroclaw: 22 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Lech Poznan: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Slask Wroclaw

Lech Poznan

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Lech Poznan971121:822
17Slask Wroclaw1013612:196
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Slask Wroclaw vs Lech Poznan?

Slask Wroclaw 1-4 Lech Poznan (half time 0-1).

Did the Slask Wroclaw vs Lech Poznan tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards – Lech Poznan (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5. The tip lost.

See also