EkstraklasaMatchday 11
Widzew Lodz vs Wisla: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 2d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%56%O2.557%53%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.2
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Widzew Lodz2:1WislaW
- Wisla3:0Widzew LodzL
- Wisla1:0Widzew LodzL
- Widzew Lodz1:2WislaL
- Wisla1:0Widzew LodzL
Widzew Lodz's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 9.7over 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.1league 4.0over 3.5: 58%Expected yellow cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.0 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.4total 3.0Attack/defence1.6 : 1.2total 2.8
Widzew Lodz : WislaMost likely scores
Market1-112%1-07%2-19%1-28%2-07%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-09%2-19%1-27%2-08%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-01-07%1-09%2-12-19%2-19%1-21-28%1-27%2-02-07%2-08%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 80%77% | 77% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%74% | 74% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 68%71% | 71% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 66%70% | 70% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60%56% | 56% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 58%54% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57%53% | 53% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 43%47% | 47% |
| 1 – Widzew Lodz win | 42%46% · Elo 43% | 46%· Elo 43% |
| Both teams to score: no | 40%44% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34%30% | 30% |
| 2 – Wisla win | 32%29% · Elo 29% | 29%· Elo 29% |
| X – draw | 26%26% · Elo 28% | 26%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 20%23% | 23% |
Attack vs defence
Widzew Lodz attack vs Wisla defenceattack1454defence1456−2 pts to the attack
Wisla attack vs Widzew Lodz defenceattack1509defence1525−16 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 54%close to the league averageunder 46%over
We expect 9.0 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.567%61%
8.554%52%
9.542%39%
10.531%24%
Each team on its own
Widzew Lodzwe expect 4.9, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 53%
Wislawe expect 4.3, league average 3.9 · chance of over 3.5: 61%
Foulsleague average
Over 23.5 · 54%close to the league averageunder 46%over
We expect 24.5 in this match, 23.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.561%60%
23.554%53%
24.548%48%
25.541%42%
Each team on its own
Widzew Lodzwe expect 11.7, league average 11.9 · chance of over 11.5: 50%
Wislawe expect 12.8, league average 12.0 · chance of over 12.5: 51%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 53%close to the league averageunderover 47%
We expect 2.6 in this match, 2.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.572%75%
2.547%50%
3.526%32%
4.512%17%
Each team on its own
Widzew Lodzwe expect 1.2, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 33%
Wislawe expect 1.4, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 39%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Widzew Lodz matches average 12.2 corners (league 9.7) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Widzew Lodz: no win in 7 matches
- Widzew Lodz: only 9 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 15 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Widzew Lodz concede a lot late on: 9 of 22 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Wisla: newly promoted
- Widzew Lodz: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Wisla: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wisla | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:14 | 17 |
| 13 | Widzew Lodz | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 14:15 | 9 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Widzew Lodz vs Wisla?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Widzew Lodz win 42%, draw 26%, Wisla win 32%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Widzew Lodz vs Wisla?
Expected goals: 3.0 (Widzew Lodz 1.6, Wisla 1.4). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 57%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Widzew Lodz vs Wisla?
The chance that both teams score is 60%.
When is Widzew Lodz vs Wisla?
The Ekstraklasa match kicks off 16 October 2026, 19:30 (UK time).