Liga Portugal 2Matchday 7
Amarante 1-2 Portimonense: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Municipal de Amarante, Amarante
- Referee:
- Flavio Miguel Gomes Azevedo Duarte
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Lost60%
Portimonense: no goal in their last 3 league matches; under 2.5 goals in 3 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 6 (55% of league matches)
Other tips
- Corners: Under 9.5Won57%
7.3 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 8.2 in the visitors', league average 9.5
For the brave
Total Goals: Under 1.5Lost32%
Portimonense: no goal in their last 3 league matches
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS48%51%O2.540%46%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.1both scored
H2Hhome side's goals firstnever met
Cornersleague corners9.1league 9.5under 9.5: 57%Expected corners: 9.1 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 8
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.9league 5.5under 5.5: 63%Expected yellow cards: 4.9 in this match, 5.5 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 5.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 40%.won · ended 5
RefereeF. Miguel Gomes Azevedo Duarte−0.5 yellow cards vs average11 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)74%X21:0coverageleague 71%covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 1.1total 2.3Attack/defence1.4 : 1.1total 2.5
Amarante : PortimonenseMost likely scores
Market1-114%0-011%1-011%0-110%2-18%2-0—Attack/defence1-113%0-08%1-011%0-19%2-19%2-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%0-00-011%0-08%1-01-011%1-011%0-10-110%0-19%2-12-18%2-19%2-02-0—2-08%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 80%75% | 75% |
| 12 – no draw | 70%73% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68%72% | 72% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 67%70% | 70% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 63%57% | 57% |
| Our tip: Under 2.5 goals | 60%54% | 54% |
| Both teams to score: no | 52%49% | 49% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48%51% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40%46% | 46% |
| 1 – Amarante win | 37%43% · Elo 40% | 43%· Elo 40% |
| 2 – Portimonense win | 33%30% · Elo 32% | 30%· Elo 32% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 32%28% | 28% |
| X – draw | 30%27% · Elo 28% | 27%· Elo 28% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20%25% | 25% |
Attack vs defence
Amarante attack vs Portimonense defenceattack1472defence1465+7 pts to the attack
Portimonense attack vs Amarante defenceattack1475defence1483−8 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 65%close to the league averageunderover 35%
We expect 7.6 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.548%51%
8.535%38%
9.524%33%
10.515%18%
Each team on its own
Amarantewe expect 4.1, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 40%
Portimonensewe expect 3.1, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 38%
Foulsleague average
Under 25.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 25.1 in this match, 26.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.24.552%60%
25.545%49%
26.539%44%
27.533%42%
Each team on its own
Amarantewe expect 13.3, league average 13.2 · chance of over 13.5: 46%
Portimonensewe expect 11.7, league average 12.8 · chance of over 12.5: 39%
Referee: 22.0 fouls per match on average (2 matches in our data)
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 64%close to the league averageunderover 36%
We expect 2.1 in this match, 2.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.562%67%
2.536%38%
3.517%24%
4.57%14%
Each team on its own
Amarantewe expect 0.8, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 20%
Portimonensewe expect 1.3, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 36%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Portimonense matches average only 4.1 cards (league 5.9) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Portimonense: only 1 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Amarante: newly promoted
- Amarante: 27 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- Portimonense: 28 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Portimonense | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 16 | Amarante | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | 5 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Amarante vs Portimonense?
Amarante 1-2 Portimonense (half time 0-0).
Did the Amarante vs Portimonense tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip lost.