Liga Portugal 2Matchday 7

Benfica B 1-0 Felgueiras: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Benfica Campus, Seixal
Referee:
Pedro Miguel Torres Ramalho

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

The match in numbers

1X2EloBenfica B140840%43%Draw28%28%Felgueiras137132%29%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS51%49%O2.545%44%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 4 meetings
  1. Benfica B4:2FelgueirasW
  2. Felgueiras2:1Benfica BL
  3. Felgueiras3:3Benfica BD
  4. Benfica B2:0FelgueirasW
Benfica B's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss4.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.4league 9.5under 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.4 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Yellow cardsleague yellows5.5league 5.5under 5.5: 53%Expected yellow cards: 5.5 in this match, 5.5 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 5.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 25%.won · ended 4
RefereeP. Miguel Torres Ramalho+0.1 yellow cards vs average24 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)70%X21:0coverageleague 71% · H2H 2/4covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.2total 2.5Attack/defence1.3 : 1.1total 2.4
Benfica B : Felgueiras
Most likely scores
Market1-114%1-010%0-19%0-09%2-18%2-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-011%0-19%0-09%2-19%2-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-010%1-011%0-10-19%0-19%0-00-09%0-09%2-12-18%2-19%2-02-0—2-08%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals76%77%77%
12 – no draw72%72%72%
Over 1.5 goals72%70%70%
1X – home team avoid defeat68%70%70%
X2 – away team avoid defeat60%58%58%
Under 2.5 goals55%56%56%
Both teams to score: yes51%49%49%
Both teams to score: no49%51%51%
Over 2.5 goals45%44%44%
1 – Benfica B win40%42% · Elo 43%42%· Elo 43%
2 – Felgueiras win32%30% · Elo 29%30%· Elo 29%
X – draw28%28% · Elo 28%28%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals28%30%30%
Over 3.5 goals24%23%23%
Attack vs defence
Benfica B attack vs Felgueiras defenceattack1538defence1553−15 pts to the attack
Felgueiras attack vs Benfica B defenceattack1469defence1489−20 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 60%close to the league averageunderover 40%
We expect 8.0 in this match, 8.2 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.554%54%
8.540%39%
9.528%33%
10.519%18%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Benfica Bwe expect 4.0, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 37%
Felgueiraswe expect 3.8, league average 3.6 · chance of over 3.5: 51%
Foulsleague average
Under 26.5 · 56%close to the league averageunderover 44%
We expect 25.9 in this match, 26.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
25.551%51%
26.544%44%
27.538%43%
28.532%34%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Benfica Bwe expect 14.9, league average 13.3 · chance of over 13.5: 61%
Felgueiraswe expect 12.0, league average 12.8 · chance of over 12.5: 43%
Referee: 26.0 fouls per match on average (17 matches in our data)−1.8 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 68%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 32%
We expect 2.0 in this match, 2.5 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.558%69%
2.532%41%
3.514%25%
4.55%13%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Benfica Bwe expect 0.9, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 21%
Felgueiraswe expect 1.0, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 28%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Benfica B74128:513
14Felgueiras71335:76
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Benfica B vs Felgueiras?

Benfica B 1-0 Felgueiras (half time 1-0).