Liga Portugal 2Matchday 8
Chaves vs Vizela: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 9d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS51%49%O2.545%43%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.1
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Vizela3:2ChavesL
- Chaves1:0VizelaW
- Chaves1:2VizelaL
- Vizela0:1ChavesW
- Vizela0:1ChavesW
Chaves's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.2league 9.5under 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 9.2 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows5.3league 5.5under 5.5: 56%Expected yellow cards: 5.3 in this match, 5.5 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 5.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 32%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 1.3total 2.5Attack/defence1.3 : 1.1total 2.4
Chaves : VizelaMost likely scores
Market1-114%1-09%0-110%0-09%2-1—1-28%2-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-011%0-110%0-09%2-18%1-2—2-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-09%1-011%0-10-110%0-110%0-00-09%0-09%2-12-1—2-18%1-21-28%1-2—2-02-0—2-08%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 76%78% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72%69% | 69% |
| 12 – no draw | 71%72% | 72% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 65%60% | 60% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 62%68% | 68% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 55%57% | 57% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51%49% | 49% |
| Both teams to score: no | 49%51% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45%43% | 43% |
| 2 – Vizela win | 37%32% · Elo 38% | 32%· Elo 38% |
| 1 – Chaves win | 34%40% · Elo 34% | 40%· Elo 34% |
| X – draw | 28%28% · Elo 28% | 28%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 28%31% | 31% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24%22% | 22% |
Attack vs defence
Chaves attack vs Vizela defenceattack1509defence1541−32 pts to the attack
Vizela attack vs Chaves defenceattack1499defence1507−8 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 58%close to the league averageunderover 42%
We expect 8.1 in this match, 8.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.555%55%
8.542%40%
9.530%34%
10.520%18%
Each team on its own
Chaveswe expect 4.5, league average 4.6 · chance of over 4.5: 46%
Vizelawe expect 3.5, league average 3.6 · chance of over 3.5: 46%
Foulsleague average
Under 26.5 · 64%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 36%
We expect 24.6 in this match, 26.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.25.542%52%
26.536%45%
27.530%44%
28.525%36%
Each team on its own
Chaveswe expect 12.7, league average 13.3 · chance of over 13.5: 40%
Vizelawe expect 11.7, league average 12.9 · chance of over 12.5: 39%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 52%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 49%over
We expect 2.7 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.576%69%
2.552%42%
3.530%26%
4.515%14%
Each team on its own
Chaveswe expect 1.5, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 43%
Vizelawe expect 1.3, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 37%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Chaves concede 2.0 goals per game
- Chaves: only 8 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Chaves: 12 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Vizela: 13 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Vizela | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 11 |
| 17 | Chaves | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:14 | 5 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Chaves vs Vizela?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Chaves win 34%, draw 28%, Vizela win 37%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Chaves vs Vizela?
Expected goals: 2.5 (Chaves 1.2, Vizela 1.3). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 45%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Chaves vs Vizela?
The chance that both teams score is 51%.
When is Chaves vs Vizela?
The Liga Portugal 2 match kicks off 23 October 2026, 18:45 (UK time).