Liga Portugal 2Matchday 7
Lourosa 1-1 Chaves: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Estadio Do Lusitania Fc, Lourosa
- Referee:
- David Rafael Oliveira da Silva
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Main tip
Corners: Under 9.5Lost56%
8.0 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 7.5 in the visitors', league average 9.5; under 9.5 corners in 5 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 6 (54% of league matches)
For the brave
Corners: Under 7.5Lost31%
8.0 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 7.5 in the visitors', league average 9.5; under 7.5 corners in 3 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 3 of the visitors' last 6 (28% of league matches)
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS51%54%O2.546%49%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 2 meetings
- Chaves2:2LourosaD
- Lourosa2:2ChavesD
Lourosa's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses4.0 goals per match
too few to read anything intoCornersleague corners9.3league 9.5under 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 9.3 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 10
Yellow cardsleague yellows5.8league 5.5over 5.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 5.8 in this match, 5.5 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 5.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 27%.lost · ended 5
RefereeD. Rafael Oliveira da Silva+0.9 yellow cards vs average33 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)69%X21:0coverageleague 71% · H2H 2/2covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.1total 2.5Attack/defence1.4 : 1.2total 2.6
Lourosa : ChavesMost likely scores
Market1-114%1-011%0-09%2-19%0-1—2-08%1-2—Attack/defence1-113%1-010%0-08%2-19%0-18%2-0—1-28%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-011%1-010%0-00-09%0-08%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-18%2-02-08%2-0—1-21-2—1-28%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 75%73% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73%74% | 74% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 72%69% | 69% |
| 12 – no draw | 72%73% | 73% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 56%58% | 58% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 54%51% | 51% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51%54% | 54% |
| Both teams to score: no | 49%47% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46%49% | 49% |
| 1 – Lourosa win | 44%42% · Elo 43% | 42%· Elo 43% |
| X – draw | 28%27% · Elo 28% | 27%· Elo 28% |
| 2 – Chaves win | 28%32% · Elo 29% | 32%· Elo 29% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 27%26% | 26% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25%27% | 27% |
Attack vs defence
Lourosa attack vs Chaves defenceattack1528defence1506+22 pts to the attack
Chaves attack vs Lourosa defenceattack1510defence1478+32 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 55%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 45%
We expect 8.3 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.558%52%
8.545%38%
9.532%33%
10.522%17%
Each team on its own
Lourosawe expect 4.8, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 52%
Chaveswe expect 3.6, league average 3.6 · chance of over 3.5: 48%
Foulsleague average
Under 26.5 · 59%close to the league averageunderover 41%
We expect 25.5 in this match, 26.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.25.548%50%
26.541%45%
27.535%43%
28.530%36%
Each team on its own
Lourosawe expect 12.5, league average 13.4 · chance of over 13.5: 38%
Chaveswe expect 11.7, league average 12.7 · chance of over 12.5: 39%
Referee: 28.0 fouls per match on average (25 matches in our data)+1.9 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 51%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 49%
We expect 2.7 in this match, 2.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.574%69%
2.549%40%
3.528%24%
4.513%14%
Each team on its own
Lourosawe expect 1.6, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 47%
Chaveswe expect 1.1, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 28%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Chaves concede 2.0 goals per game
- Chaves matches average only 4.5 cards (league 5.9) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Chaves: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Lourosa: 20 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Lourosa: 27 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- Chaves: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lourosa | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 17 |
| 17 | Chaves | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:14 | 5 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Lourosa vs Chaves?
Lourosa 1-1 Chaves (half time 0-1).
Did the Lourosa vs Chaves tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 9.5. The tip lost.