Liga Portugal 2Matchday 6

Sporting CP B 1-2 Lourosa: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira, Alcochete
Referee:
Vitor Lopes

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Won58%

referee Vitor Lopes averages 3.9 cards a match, league average 5.9; our numbers: 5.2 cards against a league average of 5.9

Other tips

  • Corners: Under 9.5Won56%

    under 9.5 corners in 4 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 5 (54% of league matches); 7.8 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 8.2 in the visitors', league average 9.5

For the brave
Cards: Under 4.5Lost41%

referee Vitor Lopes averages 3.9 cards a match, league average 5.9

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloSporting Lisbon B138439%40%Draw29%28%Lourosa139132%32%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS50%51%O2.544%46%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 2 meetings
  1. Lourosa1:0Sporting Lisbon BL
  2. Sporting Lisbon B4:0LourosaW
Sporting Lisbon B's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 1 loss2.5 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners9.2league 9.5under 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 9.2 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards5.2league 5.9under 5.5: 58%Expected cards: 5.2 in this match, 5.9 on average in the league.In this league 45% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 25%.won · ended 5
RefereeV. Lopes−1.9 cards vs average11 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.1total 2.4Attack/defence1.4 : 1.1total 2.5
Sporting CP B : Lourosa
Most likely scores
Market1-114%1-010%0-010%0-19%2-18%2-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-011%0-08%0-18%2-19%2-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-010%1-011%0-00-010%0-08%0-10-19%0-18%2-12-18%2-19%2-02-0—2-08%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals77%75%75%
12 – no draw71%73%73%
Over 1.5 goals71%72%72%
1X – home team avoid defeat68%71%71%
X2 – away team avoid defeat61%56%56%
Under 2.5 goals56%54%54%
Both teams to score: yes50%51%51%
Both teams to score: no50%49%49%
Over 2.5 goals44%46%46%
1 – Sporting CP B win39%44% · Elo 40%44%· Elo 40%
2 – Lourosa win32%29% · Elo 32%29%· Elo 32%
X – draw29%27% · Elo 28%27%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals29%28%28%
Over 3.5 goals23%25%25%
Attack vs defence
Sporting CP B attack vs Lourosa defenceattack1497defence1475+22 pts to the attack
Lourosa attack vs Sporting CP B defenceattack1522defence1534−12 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Sporting CP B: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Sporting CP B score only 0.7 goals per game
  • Sporting CP B matches average only 7.4 corners (league 9.5) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Lourosa score a lot late on: 11 of 26 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Sporting CP B: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Lourosa: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Lourosa752012:517
2Sporting CP B750210:615
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Sporting CP B vs Lourosa?

Sporting CP B 1-2 Lourosa (half time 1-1).

Did the Sporting CP B vs Lourosa tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip won.