Liga Portugal 2Matchday 8
Porto B vs Leiria: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 11d 12hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%56%O2.549%52%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.4
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Leiria2:2Porto BD
- Porto B1:2LeiriaL
- Leiria0:0Porto BD
- Porto B1:1LeiriaD
- Leiria1:1Porto BD
Porto B's record: 0 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.5league 9.5under 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.5 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows5.4league 5.5under 5.5: 55%Expected yellow cards: 5.4 in this match, 5.5 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 5.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 32%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.5total 2.6Attack/defence1.3 : 1.4total 2.7
Porto B : LeiriaMost likely scores
Market1-113%0-110%1-29%0-29%1-0—0-08%2-1—Attack/defence1-112%0-19%1-29%0-2—1-08%0-07%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%0-10-110%0-19%1-21-29%1-29%0-20-29%0-2—1-01-0—1-08%0-00-08%0-07%2-12-1—2-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 74%66% | 66% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74%76% | 76% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73%71% | 71% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 53%60% | 60% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53%56% | 56% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51%48% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49%52% | 52% |
| 2 – Leiria win | 47%40% · Elo 38% | 40%· Elo 38% |
| Both teams to score: no | 47%44% | 44% |
| X – draw | 27%26% · Elo 28% | 26%· Elo 28% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27%29% | 29% |
| 1 – Porto B win | 26%34% · Elo 34% | 34%· Elo 34% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 26%24% | 24% |
Attack vs defence
Porto B attack vs Leiria defenceattack1458defence1480−22 pts to the attack
Leiria attack vs Porto B defenceattack1563defence1436+127 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 50%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 50%over
We expect 8.7 in this match, 8.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.563%55%
8.550%40%
9.538%34%
10.527%18%
Each team on its own
Porto Bwe expect 4.1, league average 4.6 · chance of over 4.5: 40%
Leiriawe expect 4.7, league average 3.6 · chance of over 3.5: 67%
Foulsleague average
Over 26.5 · 50%close to the league averageunder 50%over
We expect 26.8 in this match, 26.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.25.556%52%
26.550%45%
27.544%44%
28.538%36%
Each team on its own
Porto Bwe expect 13.3, league average 13.3 · chance of over 13.5: 45%
Leiriawe expect 13.7, league average 12.9 · chance of over 12.5: 59%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 51%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 50%
We expect 2.7 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.574%69%
2.550%42%
3.528%26%
4.513%14%
Each team on its own
Porto Bwe expect 1.3, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 38%
Leiriawe expect 1.3, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 38%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Leiria matches average only 4.4 cards (league 5.9) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Porto B: 16 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 10 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Porto B: 15 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- Leiria: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Leiria | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | 10 |
| 13 | Porto B | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:14 | 7 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Porto B vs Leiria?
Leiria are the favourites. Chances: Porto B win 26%, draw 27%, Leiria win 47%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Porto B vs Leiria?
Expected goals: 2.6 (Porto B 1.1, Leiria 1.5). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 49%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Porto B vs Leiria?
The chance that both teams score is 53%.
When is Porto B vs Leiria?
The Liga Portugal 2 match kicks off 25 October 2026, 15:30 (UK time).