Liga Portugal 2Matchday 7
Leiria 0-2 Academica: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Estadio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, Leiria
- Referee:
- Miguel Andre Monteiro Fonseca
Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%56%O2.551%54%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.2not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Academica0:0LeiriaD
- Leiria1:2AcademicaL
- Academica0:0LeiriaD
- Leiria2:1AcademicaW
- Academica0:0LeiriaD
Leiria's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss1.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.5under 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 13
Yellow cardsleague yellows5.2league 5.5under 5.5: 58%Expected yellow cards: 5.2 in this match, 5.5 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 5.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 20%.won · ended 4
RefereeM. Andre Monteiro Fonseca−0.2 yellow cards vs average23 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)66%BTTS yes1:0coverageleague 61% · H2H 2/5not covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.1total 2.7Attack/defence1.7 : 1.2total 2.8
Leiria : AcademicaMost likely scores
Market1-113%1-010%2-19%2-09%0-08%1-2—0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-010%2-110%2-08%0-0—1-27%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%1-01-010%1-010%2-12-19%2-110%2-02-09%2-08%0-00-08%0-0—1-21-2—1-27%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 76%77% | 77% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 75%74% | 74% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%75% | 75% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71%69% | 69% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54%56% | 56% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 52%51% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51%54% | 54% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49%46% | 46% |
| 1 – Leiria win | 48%49% · Elo 50% | 49%· Elo 50% |
| Both teams to score: no | 46%44% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29%31% | 31% |
| X – draw | 27%25% · Elo 26% | 25%· Elo 26% |
| 2 – Academica win | 25%26% · Elo 24% | 26%· Elo 24% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 24%23% | 23% |
Attack vs defence
Leiria attack vs Academica defenceattack1572defence1464+108 pts to the attack
Academica attack vs Leiria defenceattack1497defence1488+9 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 55%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 45%
We expect 8.3 in this match, 8.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.558%53%
8.545%40%
9.533%33%
10.523%18%
Each team on its own
Leiriawe expect 4.5, league average 4.6 · chance of over 4.5: 46%
Academicawe expect 3.9, league average 3.6 · chance of over 3.5: 54%
Foulsleague average
Under 26.5 · 69%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 31%
We expect 23.8 in this match, 26.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.25.537%50%
26.531%43%
27.526%42%
28.521%35%
Each team on its own
Leiriawe expect 11.9, league average 13.3 · chance of over 13.5: 32%
Academicawe expect 12.8, league average 12.7 · chance of over 12.5: 50%
Referee: 25.0 fouls per match on average (15 matches in our data)−2.2 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 57%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 43%over
We expect 3.0 in this match, 2.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.579%68%
2.557%40%
3.535%23%
4.519%13%
Each team on its own
Leiriawe expect 1.9, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 55%
Academicawe expect 1.2, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 33%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Leiria matches average only 4.5 cards (league 5.9) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Academica: newly promoted
- Leiria: 28 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- Academica: 30 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Academica | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 9 | Leiria | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | 10 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Leiria vs Academica?
Leiria 0-2 Academica (half time 0-1).