Liga Portugal 2Matchday 7
Tondela 1-0 Torreense: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Estadio Joao Cardoso, Tondela
- Referee:
- Vitor Jorge Fernandes Ferreira
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Main tip
Corners: Under 9.5Lost59%
6.5 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 9.2 in the visitors', league average 9.5; under 9.5 corners in 6 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 3 of the visitors' last 6 (54% of league matches)
For the brave
Corners: Under 7.5Lost34%
under 7.5 corners in 4 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 2 of the visitors' last 6 (28% of league matches); 6.5 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 9.2 in the visitors', league average 9.5
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS49%51%O2.542%46%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.2not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Tondela2:2TorreenseD
- Torreense0:2TondelaW
- Torreense0:1TondelaW
- Tondela1:2TorreenseL
- Tondela1:1TorreenseD
Tondela's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.0league 9.5under 9.5: 59%Expected corners: 9.0 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 10
Yellow cardsleague yellows5.0league 5.5under 5.5: 62%Expected yellow cards: 5.0 in this match, 5.5 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 5.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 30%.lost · ended 7
RefereeV. Jorge Fernandes Ferreira−1.1 yellow cards vs average15 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)71%X21:0coverageleague 71% · H2H 4/5covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.1total 2.4Attack/defence1.3 : 1.2total 2.5
Tondela : TorreenseMost likely scores
Market1-114%1-011%0-010%0-19%2-18%1-2—Attack/defence1-113%1-010%0-09%0-110%2-18%1-28%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-011%1-010%0-00-010%0-09%0-10-19%0-110%2-12-18%2-18%1-21-2—1-28%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 78%76% | 76% |
| 12 – no draw | 71%72% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70%71% | 71% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 69%66% | 66% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 60%62% | 62% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 58%54% | 54% |
| Both teams to score: no | 51%49% | 49% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49%51% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42%46% | 46% |
| 1 – Tondela win | 40%38% · Elo 46% | 38%· Elo 46% |
| 2 – Torreense win | 31%34% · Elo 27% | 34%· Elo 27% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 30%29% | 29% |
| X – draw | 29%28% · Elo 27% | 28%· Elo 27% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22%24% | 24% |
Attack vs defence
Tondela attack vs Torreense defenceattack1486defence1521−35 pts to the attack
Torreense attack vs Tondela defenceattack1537defence1504+33 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 64%close to the league averageunderover 36%
We expect 7.6 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.549%52%
8.536%39%
9.524%33%
10.516%19%
Each team on its own
Tondelawe expect 4.6, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 48%
Torreensewe expect 2.8, league average 3.6 · chance of over 3.5: 31%
Foulsleague average
Under 26.5 · 56%close to the league averageunderover 44%
We expect 25.9 in this match, 26.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.25.550%50%
26.544%44%
27.538%43%
28.532%35%
Each team on its own
Tondelawe expect 14.5, league average 13.2 · chance of over 13.5: 57%
Torreensewe expect 12.3, league average 12.8 · chance of over 12.5: 46%
Referee: 25.0 fouls per match on average (4 matches in our data)−3.8 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 51%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 49%over
We expect 2.7 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.575%69%
2.551%39%
3.529%24%
4.514%15%
Each team on its own
Tondelawe expect 1.6, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 46%
Torreensewe expect 1.2, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 33%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Torreense matches average only 4.3 cards (league 5.9) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Tondela: newly promoted
- Tondela: 28 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- Torreense: 29 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Tondela | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8:6 | 12 |
| 15 | Torreense | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:10 | 6 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Tondela vs Torreense?
Tondela 1-0 Torreense (half time 0-0).
Did the Tondela vs Torreense tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 9.5. The tip lost.