Liga PortugalMatchday 4

Alverca 1-1 Santa Clara: prediction, tips and result

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1-1Full time(half time 0-0)
Stadium:
Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca, Alverca do Ribatejo
Referee:
Diogo Miguel Mauzinho Rosa

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Won61%

our numbers: 2.2 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7

For the brave
Total Goals: Under 1.5Lost33%

under 1.5 goals in 2 of the last 4 head-to-head meetings; our numbers: 2.2 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloAlverca160639%33%Draw30%29%Santa Clara167131%37%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS46%46%O2.539%39%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 4 meetings
  1. Alverca1:1Santa ClaraD
  2. Santa Clara2:1AlvercaL
  3. Santa Clara0:0AlvercaD
  4. Alverca1:0Santa ClaraW
Alverca's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 1 loss1.5 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.4under 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 14
Cardsleague cards5.6league 5.2under 5.5: 53%Expected cards: 5.6 in this match, 5.2 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.won · ended 3
RefereeD. Miguel Mauzinho Rosa+1.4 cards vs average19 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 1.0total 2.2Attack/defence1.2 : 1.1total 2.3
Alverca : Santa Clara
Most likely scores
Market1-114%1-012%0-012%0-110%2-18%1-2—Attack/defence1-114%1-012%0-011%0-111%2-18%1-27%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-114%1-01-012%1-012%0-00-012%0-011%0-10-110%0-111%2-12-18%2-18%1-21-2—1-27%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals81%81%81%
12 – no draw70%71%71%
1X – home team avoid defeat69%66%66%
Over 1.5 goals67%66%66%
X2 – away team avoid defeat61%64%64%
Our tip: Under 2.5 goals61%61%61%
Both teams to score: no54%54%54%
Both teams to score: yes46%46%46%
1 – Alverca win39%36% · Elo 33%36%· Elo 33%
Over 2.5 goals39%39%39%
Under 1.5 goals33%34%34%
2 – Santa Clara win31%34% · Elo 37%34%· Elo 37%
X – draw30%29% · Elo 29%29%· Elo 29%
Over 3.5 goals19%19%19%
Attack vs defence
Alverca attack vs Santa Clara defenceattack1428defence1537−109 pts to the attack
Santa Clara attack vs Alverca defenceattack1430defence1444−14 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Alverca matches average only 3.9 cards (league 5.2) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Alverca: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Santa Clara: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Santa Clara853012:418
7Alverca832313:1211
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Alverca vs Santa Clara?

Alverca 1-1 Santa Clara (half time 0-0).

Did the Alverca vs Santa Clara tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip won.