Liga PortugalMatchday 3
Sp Lisbon 3-1 Alverca: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Estadio Jose Alvalade, Lisbon
- Referee:
- Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won65%
our numbers: 3.4 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7
Other tips
- Match Result: Sp LisbonWon79%
Sp Lisbon: won 4 of the last 4 head-to-head meetings
For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Won44%
our numbers: 3.4 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS47%50%O2.565%61%|exp. goals 2.4 : 0.8both scored
H2Hlast 4 meetings
- Alverca1:4Sp LisbonW
- Sp Lisbon2:0AlvercaW
- Sp Lisbon2:0AlvercaW
- Alverca1:2Sp LisbonW
Sp Lisbon's record: 4 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.4under 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards5.1league 5.2under 5.5: 60%Expected cards: 5.1 in this match, 5.2 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.won · ended 4
RefereeF. Jose Costa Verissimo+0.2 cards vs average27 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.7 : 0.7total 3.4Attack/defence2.4 : 0.8total 3.2
Sp Lisbon : AlvercaMost likely scores
Market2-012%3-011%1-09%2-19%1-1—3-18%Attack/defence2-012%3-09%1-010%2-19%1-18%3-17%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-012%2-012%3-03-011%3-09%1-01-09%1-010%2-12-19%2-19%1-11-1—1-18%3-13-18%3-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 92%89% | 89% |
| 12 – no draw | 86%83% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85%82% | 82% |
| 1 – Sp Lisbon win | 79%72% · Elo 86% | 72%· Elo 86% |
| Our tip: Over 2.5 goals | 65%61% | 61% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 56%61% | 61% |
| Both teams to score: no | 53%50% | 50% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47%50% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44%39% | 39% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35%39% | 39% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 20%28% | 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 15%18% | 18% |
| X – draw | 13%17% · Elo 9% | 17%· Elo 9% |
| 2 – Alverca win | 7%11% · Elo 5% | 11%· Elo 5% |
Attack vs defence
Sp Lisbon attack vs Alverca defenceattack1727defence1444+283 pts to the attack
Alverca attack vs Sp Lisbon defenceattack1427defence1624−197 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Sp Lisbon score 2.6 goals per game
- Alverca matches average only 3.8 cards (league 5.2) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Sp Lisbon: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Sp Lisbon concede a lot late on: 11 of 20 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Sp Lisbon: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Alverca: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sp Lisbon | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20:9 | 18 |
| 7 | Alverca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 11 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Sp Lisbon vs Alverca?
Sp Lisbon 3-1 Alverca (half time 1-0).
Did the Sp Lisbon vs Alverca tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.