Liga PortugalMatchday 7

Gil Vicente 1-1 Maritimo: prediction, tips and result

·

Stadium:
Estadio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos
Referee:
Bruno Pires Costa

Our tips

Main tip
Corners: Under 9.5Won58%

under 9.5 corners in 4 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 6 (54% of league matches); 9.0 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 7.3 in the visitors', league average 9.4

Other tips

  • Cards: Under 5.5Won71%

    under 5.5 cards in 4 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 6 (62% of league matches)

  • Total Goals: Under 2.5Won60%

    our numbers: 2.3 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7

For the brave
Corners: Under 8.5Won45%

under 8.5 corners in 3 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 6 (42% of league matches); 9.0 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 7.3 in the visitors', league average 9.4

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloGil Vicente166647%61%Draw28%23%Maritimo149624%16%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS46%48%O2.540%45%|exp. goals 1.6 : 0.9both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Gil Vicente2:0MaritimoW
  2. Maritimo1:2Gil VicenteW
  3. Gil Vicente1:1MaritimoD
  4. Maritimo1:2Gil VicenteW
  5. Maritimo0:1Gil VicenteW
Gil Vicente's record: 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.1league 9.4under 9.5: 58%Expected corners: 9.1 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards4.4league 5.0under 5.5: 71%Expected cards: 4.4 in this match, 5.0 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.won · ended 2
RefereeB. Pires Costa−1.0 cards vs average26 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 0.9total 2.3Attack/defence1.6 : 0.9total 2.5
Gil Vicente : Maritimo
Most likely scores
Market1-114%1-013%0-011%2-010%2-19%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-013%0-09%2-010%2-19%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-112%1-01-013%1-013%0-00-011%0-09%2-02-010%2-010%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals80%76%76%
1X – home team avoid defeat75%78%78%
12 – no draw71%74%74%
Over 1.5 goals68%71%71%
Under 2.5 goals60%55%55%
Both teams to score: no54%52%52%
X2 – away team avoid defeat52%48%48%
1 – Gil Vicente win47%52% · Elo 61%52%· Elo 61%
Both teams to score: yes46%48%48%
Over 2.5 goals40%45%45%
Under 1.5 goals32%29%29%
X – draw28%26% · Elo 23%26%· Elo 23%
2 – Maritimo win24%22% · Elo 16%22%· Elo 16%
Over 3.5 goals20%24%24%
Attack vs defence
Gil Vicente attack vs Maritimo defenceattack1472defence1411+61 pts to the attack
Maritimo attack vs Gil Vicente defenceattack1415defence1534−119 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Gil Vicente score only 0.7 goals per game
  • Maritimo: newly promoted
  • Gil Vicente: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Maritimo: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Gil Vicente73226:511
12Maritimo82249:148
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Gil Vicente vs Maritimo?

Gil Vicente 1-1 Maritimo (half time 1-0).

Did the Gil Vicente vs Maritimo tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 9.5. The tip won.