Liga PortugalMatchday 6

Moreirense 3-1 Maritimo: prediction, tips and result

·

Moreirense
2-20-41-01-20-4
3-1Full time(half time 2-0)
Maritimo
0-31-22-22-11-0
Stadium:
Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Conegos
Referee:
Fabio Melo

Our tips

Main tip
Corners: Under 9.5Won61%

8.0 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 7.2 in the visitors', league average 9.4; under 9.5 corners in 3 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 5 (54% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Under 2.5Lost60%

    under 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Corners: Under 8.5Won48%

under 8.5 corners in 3 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 5 (42% of league matches); 8.0 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 7.2 in the visitors', league average 9.4

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloMoreirense162634%56%Draw30%25%Maritimo149636%19%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS47%50%O2.540%45%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Moreirense0:1MaritimoL
  2. Maritimo0:0MoreirenseD
  3. Maritimo0:2MoreirenseW
  4. Moreirense2:1MaritimoW
  5. Moreirense2:0MaritimoW
Moreirense's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss1.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.8league 9.4under 9.5: 61%Expected corners: 8.8 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 8
Cardsleague cards4.6league 5.1under 5.5: 68%Expected cards: 4.6 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 20%.won · ended 4
RefereeF. Melo−1.2 cards vs average11 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.2total 2.3Attack/defence1.4 : 1.1total 2.5
Moreirense : Maritimo
Most likely scores
Market1-114%1-010%0-011%0-111%2-1—1-28%2-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-011%0-09%0-19%2-19%1-2—2-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-010%1-011%0-00-011%0-09%0-10-111%0-19%2-12-1—2-19%1-21-28%1-2—2-02-0—2-08%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals80%76%76%
12 – no draw70%72%72%
Over 1.5 goals67%71%71%
X2 – away team avoid defeat66%57%57%
1X – home team avoid defeat64%71%71%
Under 2.5 goals60%55%55%
Both teams to score: no53%50%50%
Both teams to score: yes47%50%50%
Over 2.5 goals40%45%45%
2 – Maritimo win36%30% · Elo 19%30%· Elo 19%
1 – Moreirense win34%43% · Elo 56%43%· Elo 56%
Under 1.5 goals33%29%29%
X – draw30%28% · Elo 25%28%· Elo 25%
Over 3.5 goals20%24%24%
Attack vs defence
Moreirense attack vs Maritimo defenceattack1410defence1420−10 pts to the attack
Maritimo attack vs Moreirense defenceattack1417defence1437−20 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Moreirense concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Maritimo: newly promoted
  • Moreirense: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Maritimo: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

Moreirense

Maritimo

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11Moreirense82248:158
12Maritimo82249:148
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Moreirense vs Maritimo?

Moreirense 3-1 Maritimo (half time 2-0).

Did the Moreirense vs Maritimo tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 9.5. The tip won.

See also