Liga PortugalMatchday 4
Rio Ave 0-4 Sp Lisbon: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Estadio dos Arcos, Vila do Conde (attendance: 4,664)
- Referee:
- Bruno Pires Costa
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won58%
over 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
Other tips
- Cards: Under 5.5Won68%
referee Bruno Pires Costa averages 5.1 cards a match, league average 5.2; our numbers: 4.6 cards against a league average of 5.2
- Match Result: Sp LisbonWon72%
Sp Lisbon: won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Won36%
over 3.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS47%55%O2.558%57%|exp. goals 1.0 : 1.9not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Rio Ave1:4Sp LisbonL
- Sp Lisbon4:0Rio AveL
- Rio Ave0:3Sp LisbonL
- Sp Lisbon3:1Rio AveL
- Rio Ave3:3Sp LisbonD
Rio Ave's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses4.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.4under 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 5
Cardsleague cards4.6league 5.2under 5.5: 68%Expected cards: 4.6 in this match, 5.2 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.won · ended 2
RefereeB. Pires Costa−1.0 cards vs average23 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.7 : 2.3total 3.0Attack/defence1.0 : 1.9total 3.0
Rio Ave : Sp LisbonMost likely scores
Market0-213%1-19%0-110%0-310%1-29%1-3—Attack/defence0-210%1-111%0-110%0-36%1-210%1-36%
MarketAttack/defence0-20-213%0-210%1-11-19%1-111%0-10-110%0-110%0-30-310%0-36%1-21-29%1-210%1-31-3—1-36%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 89%81% | 81% |
| 12 – no draw | 83%78% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81%79% | 79% |
| 2 – Sp Lisbon win | 72%59% · Elo 76% | 59%· Elo 76% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 64%66% | 66% |
| Our tip: Over 2.5 goals | 58%57% | 57% |
| Both teams to score: no | 53%45% | 45% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47%55% | 55% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42%43% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36%34% | 34% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 28%42% | 42% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19%21% | 21% |
| X – draw | 17%22% · Elo 16% | 22%· Elo 16% |
| 1 – Rio Ave win | 11%19% · Elo 9% | 19%· Elo 9% |
Attack vs defence
Rio Ave attack vs Sp Lisbon defenceattack1445defence1622−177 pts to the attack
Sp Lisbon attack vs Rio Ave defenceattack1728defence1435+293 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Sp Lisbon score 2.5 goals per game
- Rio Ave matches average only 3.7 cards (league 5.2) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Sp Lisbon: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Sp Lisbon: unbeaten in 8 matches
- Sp Lisbon concede a lot late on: 11 of 20 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Rio Ave: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Sp Lisbon: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sp Lisbon | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20:9 | 18 |
| 14 | Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:17 | 7 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Rio Ave vs Sp Lisbon?
Rio Ave 0-4 Sp Lisbon (half time 0-4).
Did the Rio Ave vs Sp Lisbon tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.