Liga PortugalMatchday 5

Santa Clara 4-0 Rio Ave: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio de Sao Miguel, Ponta Delgada
Referee:
Anzhony Francisco Goncalves Rodrigues

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Lost61%

under 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

Other tips

  • Cards: Under 5.5Won70%

    referee Anzhony Francisco Goncalves Rodrigues averages 4.8 cards a match, league average 5.1

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:0Lost14%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloSanta Clara167148%47%Draw29%28%Rio Ave157922%26%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS45%47%O2.539%42%|exp. goals 1.4 : 0.9not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Santa Clara0:2Rio AveL
  2. Rio Ave1:1Santa ClaraD
  3. Rio Ave1:1Santa ClaraD
  4. Santa Clara1:0Rio AveW
  5. Santa Clara0:2Rio AveL
Santa Clara's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.3league 9.3under 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 9.3 in this match, 9.3 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 10
Cardsleague cards4.5league 5.1under 5.5: 70%Expected cards: 4.5 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.won · ended 2
RefereeA. Francisco Goncalves Rodrigues−0.9 cards vs average22 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 0.9total 2.3Attack/defence1.4 : 0.9total 2.4
Santa Clara : Rio Ave
Most likely scores
Market1-014%1-114%0-011%2-010%2-19%0-1—Attack/defence1-013%1-113%0-010%2-010%2-19%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-014%1-013%1-11-114%1-113%0-00-011%0-010%2-02-010%2-010%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals81%79%79%
1X – home team avoid defeat77%76%76%
12 – no draw70%72%72%
Over 1.5 goals67%68%68%
Our tip: Under 2.5 goals61%58%58%
Both teams to score: no55%53%53%
X2 – away team avoid defeat51%52%52%
1 – Santa Clara win48%48% · Elo 47%48%· Elo 47%
Both teams to score: yes45%47%47%
Over 2.5 goals39%42%42%
Under 1.5 goals33%32%32%
X – draw29%28% · Elo 28%28%· Elo 28%
2 – Rio Ave win22%24% · Elo 26%24%· Elo 26%
Over 3.5 goals19%21%21%
Attack vs defence
Santa Clara attack vs Rio Ave defenceattack1430defence1413+17 pts to the attack
Rio Ave attack vs Santa Clara defenceattack1436defence1541−105 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Rio Ave matches average only 3.6 cards (league 5.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Santa Clara: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Rio Ave: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Santa Clara853012:418
14Rio Ave82158:177
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Santa Clara vs Rio Ave?

Santa Clara 4-0 Rio Ave (half time 1-0).

Did the Santa Clara vs Rio Ave tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip lost.