LaLigaMatchday 10
Ath Bilbao vs Getafe: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 11d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS43%42%O2.543%38%|exp. goals 1.4 : 0.8
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Getafe2:0Ath BilbaoL
- Ath Bilbao0:1GetafeL
- Getafe0:2Ath BilbaoW
- Ath Bilbao1:1GetafeD
- Getafe0:2Ath BilbaoW
Ath Bilbao's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 9.7over 9.5: 50%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.3league 4.4under 4.5: 57%Expected yellow cards: 4.3 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 25%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 0.7total 2.4Attack/defence1.4 : 0.8total 2.2
Ath Bilbao : GetafeMost likely scores
Market1-014%2-013%1-112%0-010%2-19%0-1—Attack/defence1-015%2-011%1-113%0-012%2-19%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-014%1-015%2-02-013%2-011%1-11-112%1-113%0-00-010%0-012%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 84%80% | 80% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 78%82% | 82% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%72% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70%64% | 64% |
| 1 – Ath Bilbao win | 60%51% · Elo 50% | 51%· Elo 50% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 57%62% | 62% |
| Both teams to score: no | 57%59% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43%38% | 38% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 43%42% | 42% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 40%49% | 49% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 30%36% | 36% |
| X – draw | 24%28% · Elo 27% | 28%· Elo 27% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22%18% | 18% |
| 2 – Getafe win | 16%21% · Elo 23% | 21%· Elo 23% |
Attack vs defence
Ath Bilbao attack vs Getafe defenceattack1498defence1563−65 pts to the attack
Getafe attack vs Ath Bilbao defenceattack1334defence1563−229 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 52%close to the league averageunderover 48%
We expect 8.5 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.561%67%
8.548%53%
9.535%40%
10.525%31%
Each team on its own
Ath Bilbaowe expect 5.4, league average 5.1 · chance of over 5.5: 44%
Getafewe expect 3.1, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 37%
Foulsleague average
Over 23.5 · 53%close to the league averageunder 47%over
We expect 24.3 in this match, 23.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.560%55%
23.553%48%
24.546%43%
25.540%36%
Each team on its own
Ath Bilbaowe expect 12.6, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 59%
Getafewe expect 11.7, league average 11.9 · chance of over 11.5: 50%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 56%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 44%over
We expect 4.0 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.575%69%
3.556%48%
4.537%34%
5.522%24%
Each team on its own
Ath Bilbaowe expect 1.9, league average 2.1 · chance of over 2.5: 29%
Getafewe expect 2.1, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 60%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Ath Bilbao matches average only 3.4 cards (league 4.7) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Getafe: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Getafe score only 0.5 goals per game
- Ath Bilbao: only 9 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 15 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Ath Bilbao: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Getafe: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Ath Bilbao | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 14 | Getafe | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4:10 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Ath Bilbao vs Getafe?
Ath Bilbao are the favourites. Chances: Ath Bilbao win 60%, draw 24%, Getafe win 16%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Ath Bilbao vs Getafe?
Expected goals: 2.4 (Ath Bilbao 1.7, Getafe 0.7). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 43%. Most likely score: 1-0.
Will both teams score in Ath Bilbao vs Getafe?
The chance that both teams score is 43%.
When is Ath Bilbao vs Getafe?
The LaLiga match kicks off 25 October 2026, 13:00 (UK time).