LaLigaMatchday 6
Levante vs Ath Bilbao: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 7d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%55%O2.548%51%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.4
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Ath Bilbao4:2LevanteL
- Levante0:2Ath BilbaoL
- Ath Bilbao3:1LevanteL
- Levante0:0Ath BilbaoD
- Levante1:1Ath BilbaoD
Levante's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 9.7over 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.1league 4.4under 4.5: 62%Expected yellow cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 25%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.5total 2.6Attack/defence1.3 : 1.4total 2.7
Levante : Ath BilbaoMost likely scores
Market1-113%0-110%1-29%0-09%1-0—2-1—0-28%Attack/defence1-113%0-19%1-28%0-07%1-09%2-18%0-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%0-10-110%0-19%1-21-29%1-28%0-00-09%0-07%1-01-0—1-09%2-12-1—2-18%0-20-28%0-2—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 74%75% | 75% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 74%71% | 71% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 73%64% | 64% |
| 12 – no draw | 72%74% | 74% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 55%63% | 63% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52%49% | 49% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52%55% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48%51% | 51% |
| Both teams to score: no | 48%45% | 45% |
| 2 – Ath Bilbao win | 45%37% · Elo 35% | 37%· Elo 35% |
| X – draw | 28%27% · Elo 29% | 27%· Elo 29% |
| 1 – Levante win | 27%36% · Elo 36% | 36%· Elo 36% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 26%25% | 25% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26%29% | 29% |
Attack vs defence
Levante attack vs Ath Bilbao defenceattack1469defence1563−94 pts to the attack
Ath Bilbao attack vs Levante defenceattack1498defence1423+75 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 56%close to the league averageunder 44%over
We expect 9.2 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.569%67%
8.556%53%
9.544%40%
10.532%31%
Each team on its own
Levantewe expect 5.1, league average 5.1 · chance of over 5.5: 40%
Ath Bilbaowe expect 4.2, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 59%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 64%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 36%
We expect 21.7 in this match, 23.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.542%55%
23.536%48%
24.529%43%
25.524%36%
Each team on its own
Levantewe expect 10.2, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 33%
Ath Bilbaowe expect 11.3, league average 11.9 · chance of over 11.5: 45%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 54%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 46%over
We expect 3.9 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.574%69%
3.554%48%
4.535%34%
5.520%24%
Each team on its own
Levantewe expect 2.3, league average 2.1 · chance of over 2.5: 40%
Ath Bilbaowe expect 1.6, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 47%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Levante matches average only 3.4 cards (league 4.7) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Ath Bilbao matches average only 3.4 cards (league 4.7) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Ath Bilbao: only 9 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 15 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Levante: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Ath Bilbao: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Ath Bilbao | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 17 | Levante | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11:15 | 6 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Levante vs Ath Bilbao?
Ath Bilbao are the favourites. Chances: Levante win 27%, draw 28%, Ath Bilbao win 45%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Levante vs Ath Bilbao?
Expected goals: 2.6 (Levante 1.1, Ath Bilbao 1.5). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 48%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Levante vs Ath Bilbao?
The chance that both teams score is 52%.
When is Levante vs Ath Bilbao?
The LaLiga match kicks off 21 October 2026, 19:00 (UK time).