LaLigaMatchday 8

Santander 2-2 Valencia: prediction, tips and result

·

Santander
3-22-32-12-70-5
2-2Full time(half time 1-1)
Valencia
2-31-00-10-51-3
Stadium:
El Sardinero, Santander
Referee:
Luis Bestard Servera

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Shots on Target – Valencia: Over 3.5Lost61%

Santander's opponents had 7.4 shots on target on average, league average 3.8; our numbers for Valencia: 4.3 shots on target against a league average of 3.8

Other tips

  • Offsides: Over 3.5Lost60%

    over 3.5 offsides in 6 of the hosts' last 7 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 7 (49% of league matches); our numbers: 4.2 offsides against a league average of 3.9

  • Fouls – Santander: Under 11.5Lost56%

    Santander: 11.7 fouls a match, Valencia's opponents committed 9.4 on average, league average 11.8

For the brave
Shots on Target – Valencia: Over 4.5Lost42%

Santander's opponents had 7.4 shots on target on average, league average 3.8

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloSantander177341%40%Draw27%29%Valencia180533%31%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS62%56%O2.560%53%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Santander2:2ValenciaD
  2. Valencia4:3SantanderL
  3. Santander1:1ValenciaD
  4. Valencia1:0SantanderL
  5. Valencia0:0SantanderD
Santander's record: 0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 9.7over 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 11
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.4league 4.4under 4.5: 55%Expected yellow cards: 4.4 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.lost · ended 6
RefereeL. Bestard Servera+0.6 yellow cards vs average2 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)72%U3.52:2coverageleague 78% · H2H 4/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.5total 3.1Attack/defence1.5 : 1.3total 2.8
Santander : Valencia
Most likely scores
Market1-112%2-19%1-07%1-28%0-1—2-0—2-26%Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-09%1-28%0-18%2-07%2-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-07%1-09%1-21-28%1-28%0-10-1—0-18%2-02-0—2-07%2-22-26%2-2—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals82%77%77%
12 – no draw74%74%74%
1X – home team avoid defeat68%68%68%
Under 3.5 goals63%69%69%
Both teams to score: yes62%56%56%
X2 – away team avoid defeat60%58%58%
Over 2.5 goals60%53%53%
1 – Santander win41%42% · Elo 40%42%· Elo 40%
Under 2.5 goals40%47%47%
Both teams to score: no38%44%44%
Over 3.5 goals37%31%31%
2 – Valencia win33%32% · Elo 31%32%· Elo 31%
X – draw27%26% · Elo 29%26%· Elo 29%
Under 1.5 goals18%23%23%
Attack vs defence
Santander attack vs Valencia defenceattack1445defence1464−19 pts to the attack
Valencia attack vs Santander defenceattack1448defence1403+45 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 56%close to the league averageunder 44%over
We expect 9.1 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.568%67%
8.556%52%
9.543%40%
10.532%31%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Santanderwe expect 4.9, league average 5.1 · chance of over 5.5: 37%
Valenciawe expect 4.3, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 61%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 52%close to the league averageunderover 48%
We expect 23.6 in this match, 23.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
22.555%54%
23.548%48%
24.542%43%
25.535%36%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Santanderwe expect 11.2, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 44%
Valenciawe expect 11.4, league average 11.9 · chance of over 11.5: 46%
Referee: 30.0 fouls per match on average (2 matches in our data)+6.5 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 60%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 40%over
We expect 4.2 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.578%70%
3.560%49%
4.541%34%
5.525%24%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Santanderwe expect 2.1, league average 2.2 · chance of over 2.5: 36%
Valenciawe expect 2.1, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 60%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Santander: newly promoted
  • Santander: 22 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Valencia: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Santander

Valencia

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
15Santander822413:238
19Valencia81256:155
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Santander vs Valencia?

Santander 2-2 Valencia (half time 1-1).

Did the Santander vs Valencia tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Shots on Target – Valencia: Over 3.5. The tip lost.

See also