LaLigaMatchday 6
Alaves 0-1 Valencia: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz (attendance: 16,161)
- Referee:
- Miguel Sesma Espinosa
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Lost59%
referee Miguel Sesma Espinosa averages 3.5 cards a match, league average 4.6
Other tips
- Match Result: AlavesLost60%
Valencia: winless in their last 5 league matches
For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Lost41%
referee Miguel Sesma Espinosa averages 3.5 cards a match, league average 4.6
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS46%53%O2.547%50%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Valencia3:2AlavesL
- Alaves0:0ValenciaD
- Alaves1:0ValenciaW
- Valencia2:2AlavesD
- Valencia0:1AlavesW
Alaves's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 9.7over 9.5: 50%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 7
Cardsleague cards4.2league 4.6under 4.5: 59%Expected cards: 4.2 in this match, 4.6 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.lost · ended 5
RefereeM. Sesma Espinosa−1.0 cards vs average22 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 0.8total 2.6Attack/defence1.6 : 1.1total 2.7
Alaves : ValenciaMost likely scores
Market1-013%1-112%2-012%2-110%0-09%0-1—Attack/defence1-011%1-112%2-09%2-110%0-07%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-013%1-011%1-11-112%1-112%2-02-012%2-09%2-12-110%2-110%0-00-09%0-07%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 84%75% | 75% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 75%72% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73%75% | 75% |
| 1 – Alaves win | 60%49% · Elo 43% | 49%· Elo 43% |
| Both teams to score: no | 54%47% | 47% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53%50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47%50% | 50% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 46%53% | 53% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 40%51% | 51% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 27%25% | 25% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25%28% | 28% |
| X – draw | 24%26% · Elo 29% | 26%· Elo 29% |
| 2 – Valencia win | 16%26% · Elo 29% | 26%· Elo 29% |
Attack vs defence
Alaves attack vs Valencia defenceattack1487defence1471+16 pts to the attack
Valencia attack vs Alaves defenceattack1448defence1487−39 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Valencia: 4 defeats in a row
- Alaves played 3 days ago
- Valencia: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Alaves | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:8 | 11 |
| 19 | Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:15 | 5 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Alaves vs Valencia?
Alaves 0-1 Valencia (half time 0-0).
Did the Alaves vs Valencia tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip lost.