AllsvenskanMatchday 25
GAIS vs Goteborg: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 11d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS47%O2.540%42%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.0
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Goteborg2:2GAISD
- GAIS0:1GoteborgL
- Goteborg1:1GAISD
- Goteborg2:0GAISL
- GAIS2:1GoteborgW
GAIS's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.7league 10.2over 10.5: 51%Expected corners: 10.7 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end over 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.4league 3.3under 3.5: 57%Expected yellow cards: 3.4 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 8%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.4 : 0.9total 2.3Attack/defence1.4 : 1.0total 2.3
GAIS : GoteborgMost likely scores
Model1-014%1-113%2-011%0-010%2-19%0-1—Attack/defence1-013%1-113%2-09%0-010%2-19%0-19%
ModelAttack/defence1-01-014%1-013%1-11-113%1-113%2-02-011%2-09%0-00-010%0-010%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-19%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 80%79% | 79% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 78%75% | 75% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%72% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67%68% | 68% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 60%58% | 58% |
| 1 – GAIS win | 51%47% · Elo 46% | 47%· Elo 46% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 49%54% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40%42% | 42% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 33%32% | 32% |
| X – draw | 27%28% · Elo 26% | 28%· Elo 26% |
| 2 – Goteborg win | 22%26% · Elo 29% | 26%· Elo 29% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20%21% | 21% |
Attack vs defence
GAIS attack vs Goteborg defenceattack1500defence1518−18 pts to the attack
Goteborg attack vs GAIS defenceattack1493defence1605−112 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 52%close to the league averageunder 48%over
We expect 8.8 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.565%64%
8.552%53%
9.539%40%
10.528%29%
Each team on its own
GAISwe expect 4.4, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 45%
Goteborgwe expect 4.3, league average 4.3 · chance of over 4.5: 43%
Foulsleague average
Over 21.5 · 57%close to the league averageunder 43%over
We expect 22.8 in this match, 21.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.564%61%
21.557%54%
22.550%47%
23.543%38%
Each team on its own
GAISwe expect 11.1, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 54%
Goteborgwe expect 11.8, league average 10.7 · chance of over 10.5: 61%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 59%close to the league averageunderover 41%
We expect 2.3 in this match, 2.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.567%66%
2.541%44%
3.521%25%
4.59%13%
Each team on its own
GAISwe expect 1.2, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 34%
Goteborgwe expect 1.1, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 30%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Goteborg matches average 13.7 corners (league 10.2) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- GAIS: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Goteborg: 5 wins in a row
- Goteborg: 22 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 16 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- GAIS: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Goteborg: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Goteborg | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 32:41 | 35 |
| 10 | GAIS | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 28:21 | 30 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win GAIS vs Goteborg?
GAIS are the favourites. Chances: GAIS win 51%, draw 27%, Goteborg win 22%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in GAIS vs Goteborg?
Expected goals: 2.3 (GAIS 1.4, Goteborg 0.9). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 40%. Most likely score: 1-0.
When is GAIS vs Goteborg?
The Allsvenskan match kicks off 25 October 2026, 13:00 (UK time).