AllsvenskanMatchday 23
Goteborg 1-0 Vasteras SK: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Gamla Ullevi, Gothenburg
- Referee:
- Richard Sundell
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Main tip
Both Teams To Score: YesLost61%
goals at both ends in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
Other tips
- Yellow Cards: Under 3.5Lost64%
under 3.5 yellow cards in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (59% of league matches)
- Shots on Target – Goteborg: Over 4.5Lost60%
our numbers for Goteborg: 5.3 shots on target against a league average of 4.7; Goteborg: 6.1 shots on target a match, league average 4.7
For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost11%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%53%O2.561%50%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Vasteras SK4:5GoteborgW
- Vasteras SK1:1GoteborgD
- Goteborg1:1Vasteras SKD
- Goteborg2:0Vasteras SKW
- Vasteras SK1:2GoteborgW
Goteborg's record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.6league 10.2under 10.5: 51%Expected corners: 10.6 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 8
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.1league 3.3under 3.5: 64%Expected yellow cards: 3.1 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 5%.lost · ended 6
RefereeR. Sundell−0.4 yellow cards vs average14 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)73%O2.51:1coverageleague 66% · H2H 4/5not covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.0 : 1.2total 3.2Attack/defence1.6 : 1.1total 2.7
Goteborg : Vasteras SKMost likely scores
Market1-111%1-08%2-110%2-08%0-0—3-17%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-110%2-09%0-07%3-1—0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-01-08%1-011%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-08%2-09%0-00-0—0-07%3-13-17%3-1—0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 83%75% | 75% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 79%75% | 75% |
| 12 – no draw | 77%75% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61%50% | 50% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 61%72% | 72% |
| Our tip: Both teams to score: yes | 60%53% | 53% |
| 1 – Goteborg win | 56%50% · Elo 42% | 50%· Elo 42% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 44%50% | 50% |
| Both teams to score: no | 40%47% | 47% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39%50% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39%28% | 28% |
| X – draw | 23%26% · Elo 26% | 26%· Elo 26% |
| 2 – Vasteras SK win | 21%25% · Elo 32% | 25%· Elo 32% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17%25% | 25% |
Attack vs defence
Goteborg attack vs Vasteras SK defenceattack1499defence1435+64 pts to the attack
Vasteras SK attack vs Goteborg defenceattack1459defence1511−52 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 55%close to the league averageunder 45%over
We expect 9.1 in this match, 9.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.567%65%
8.555%53%
9.542%41%
10.531%29%
Each team on its own
Goteborgwe expect 5.3, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 60%
Vasteras SKwe expect 3.9, league average 4.3 · chance of over 4.5: 35%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 54%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 46%
We expect 21.3 in this match, 21.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.554%61%
21.546%54%
22.539%47%
23.533%38%
Each team on its own
Goteborgwe expect 11.1, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 54%
Vasteras SKwe expect 11.4, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 57%
Referee: 20.1 fouls per match on average (21 matches in our data)−1.9 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 52%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 48%over
We expect 2.8 in this match, 2.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.576%66%
2.552%44%
3.530%25%
4.515%13%
Each team on its own
Goteborgwe expect 1.1, league average 1.1 · chance of over 1.5: 31%
Vasteras SKwe expect 1.7, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 50%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Goteborg matches average 14.4 corners (league 10.2) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Goteborg: 4 wins in a row
- Vasteras SK: 17 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 10 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Goteborg: 22 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 16 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Vasteras SK: newly promoted
- Goteborg: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- Vasteras SK: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Vasteras SK | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 34:36 | 35 |
| 8 | Goteborg | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 32:41 | 35 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Goteborg vs Vasteras SK?
Goteborg 1-0 Vasteras SK (half time 1-0).
Did the Goteborg vs Vasteras SK tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: Yes. The tip lost.