AllsvenskanMatchday 22

Vasteras SK 2-0 Malmo FF: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Hitachi Energy Arena, Vasteras
Referee:
Adam Ladeback

Our tips

Main tip
Corners: Under 10.5Won60%

8.4 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 9.4 in the visitors', league average 10.3; under 10.5 corners in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (52% of league matches)

For the brave
Corners: Under 9.5Lost48%

8.4 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 9.4 in the visitors', league average 10.3; under 9.5 corners in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 10 (45% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloVasteras SK149927%33%Draw25%26%Malmo FF156148%41%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%56%O2.556%52%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.5not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Malmo FF2:3Vasteras SKW
  2. Vasteras SK1:1Malmo FFD
  3. Malmo FF1:0Vasteras SKL
  4. Vasteras SK1:2Malmo FFL
  5. Malmo FF2:0Vasteras SKL
Vasteras SK's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 10.3under 10.5: 60%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards3.5league 3.4under 3.5: 55%Expected cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 12%.won · ended 1
RefereeA. Ladeback−0.2 cards vs average16 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 1.7total 2.9Attack/defence1.2 : 1.5total 2.8
Vasteras SK : Malmo FF
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-210%0-18%0-28%1-0—2-17%Attack/defence1-112%1-29%0-110%0-28%1-07%2-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-21-210%1-29%0-10-18%0-110%0-20-28%0-28%1-01-0—1-07%2-12-17%2-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals80%76%76%
12 – no draw75%74%74%
X2 – away team avoid defeat73%70%70%
Under 3.5 goals66%70%70%
Both teams to score: yes59%56%56%
Over 2.5 goals56%52%52%
1X – home team avoid defeat52%55%55%
2 – Malmo FF win48%45% · Elo 41%45%· Elo 41%
Under 2.5 goals44%48%48%
Both teams to score: no41%44%44%
Over 3.5 goals34%30%30%
1 – Vasteras SK win27%30% · Elo 33%30%· Elo 33%
X – draw25%26% · Elo 26%26%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals20%24%24%
Attack vs defence
Vasteras SK attack vs Malmo FF defenceattack1456defence1555−99 pts to the attack
Malmo FF attack vs Vasteras SK defenceattack1575defence1430+145 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Vasteras SK: 17 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 10 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Vasteras SK: newly promoted
  • Vasteras SK: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Malmo FF: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Malmo FF23113938:3336
7Vasteras SK23105834:3635
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Vasteras SK vs Malmo FF?

Vasteras SK 2-0 Malmo FF (half time 1-0).

Did the Vasteras SK vs Malmo FF tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 10.5. The tip won.