AllsvenskanMatchday 24
Orgryte vs GAIS: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 4d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%48%O2.559%44%|exp. goals 1.0 : 1.4
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- GAIS4:0OrgryteL
- GAIS1:0OrgryteL
- Orgryte1:5GAISL
- Orgryte1:0GAISW
- GAIS2:0OrgryteL
Orgryte's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.2under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.2league 3.3under 3.5: 60%Expected yellow cards: 3.2 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 8%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 2.0total 3.1Attack/defence1.0 : 1.4total 2.4
Orgryte : GAISMost likely scores
Market1-111%0-18%1-210%0-0—0-29%1-0—1-36%Attack/defence1-113%0-112%1-29%0-09%0-29%1-08%1-3—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-113%0-10-18%0-112%1-21-210%1-29%0-00-0—0-09%0-20-29%0-29%1-01-0—1-08%1-31-36%1-3—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 82%69% | 69% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 79%75% | 75% |
| 12 – no draw | 77%73% | 73% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 63%78% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59%44% | 44% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58%48% | 48% |
| 2 – GAIS win | 56%47% · Elo 54% | 47%· Elo 54% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 44%53% | 53% |
| Both teams to score: no | 42%52% | 52% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41%56% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37%22% | 22% |
| X – draw | 23%27% · Elo 24% | 27%· Elo 24% |
| 1 – Orgryte win | 21%26% · Elo 23% | 26%· Elo 23% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 18%31% | 31% |
Attack vs defence
Orgryte attack vs GAIS defenceattack1399defence1605−206 pts to the attack
GAIS attack vs Orgryte defenceattack1500defence1389+111 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 52%close to the league averageunder 48%over
We expect 8.9 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.565%64%
8.552%53%
9.540%40%
10.529%29%
Each team on its own
Orgrytewe expect 3.9, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 36%
GAISwe expect 4.8, league average 4.3 · chance of over 4.5: 52%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 55%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 45%
We expect 21.1 in this match, 21.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.552%61%
21.545%54%
22.538%47%
23.531%38%
Each team on its own
Orgrytewe expect 10.2, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 44%
GAISwe expect 10.8, league average 10.7 · chance of over 10.5: 51%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 64%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 37%
We expect 2.2 in this match, 2.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.563%66%
2.537%44%
3.517%25%
4.57%13%
Each team on its own
Orgrytewe expect 0.9, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 23%
GAISwe expect 1.2, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 35%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- GAIS8 matches in a row without BTTSaway: 5Went on 54%League 48%Model 42%Record 13
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Orgryte concede 2.1 goals per game
- GAIS: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Orgryte: no win in 8 matches
- Orgryte: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- GAIS: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | GAIS | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 28:21 | 30 |
| 15 | Orgryte | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 25:52 | 15 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Orgryte vs GAIS?
GAIS are the favourites. Chances: Orgryte win 21%, draw 23%, GAIS win 56%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Orgryte vs GAIS?
Expected goals: 3.1 (Orgryte 1.1, GAIS 2.0). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 59%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Orgryte vs GAIS?
The chance that both teams score is 58%.
When is Orgryte vs GAIS?
The Allsvenskan match kicks off 18 October 2026, 15:30 (UK time).