AllsvenskanMatchday 23

GAIS 0-1 Sirius: prediction, tips and result

·

GAIS
0-24-00-00-23-0
0-1Full time(half time 0-0)
Sirius
2-12-01-00-10-3
Stadium:
Gamla Ullevi, Gothenburg
Referee:
Victor Wolf

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost55%

over 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

Other tips

  • Yellow Cards: Under 3.5Won62%

    referee Victor Wolf averages 3.1 yellow cards a match, league average 3.3

  • Fouls: Over 21.5Lost71%

    referee Victor Wolf averages 23.5 fouls a match, league average 21.5; our numbers: 25.2 fouls against a league average of 21.5

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost9%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloGAIS155337%36%Draw27%26%Sirius162236%38%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%55%O2.555%51%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.2not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Sirius2:1GAISL
  2. Sirius3:0GAISL
  3. GAIS2:1SiriusW
  4. GAIS2:1SiriusW
  5. Sirius3:1GAISL
GAIS's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.2under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 16
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.1league 3.3under 3.5: 62%Expected yellow cards: 3.1 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 5%.won · ended 2
RefereeV. Wolf−0.6 yellow cards vs average15 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)73%1X1:2coverageleague 73% · H2H 3/5not covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.4total 2.8Attack/defence1.5 : 1.2total 2.7
GAIS : Sirius
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-07%2-18%1-28%0-17%2-0—Attack/defence1-112%1-010%2-19%1-27%0-18%2-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%1-01-07%1-010%2-12-18%2-19%1-21-28%1-27%0-10-17%0-18%2-02-0—2-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals79%76%76%
12 – no draw73%74%74%
Under 3.5 goals67%71%71%
1X – home team avoid defeat64%70%70%
X2 – away team avoid defeat63%56%56%
Both teams to score: yes59%55%55%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals55%51%51%
Under 2.5 goals45%49%49%
Both teams to score: no41%45%45%
1 – GAIS win37%44% · Elo 36%44%· Elo 36%
2 – Sirius win36%30% · Elo 38%30%· Elo 38%
Over 3.5 goals33%29%29%
X – draw27%26% · Elo 26%26%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals21%24%24%
Attack vs defence
GAIS attack vs Sirius defenceattack1508defence1480+28 pts to the attack
Sirius attack vs GAIS defenceattack1627defence1605+22 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 51%close to the league averageunder 49%over
We expect 8.8 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.564%65%
8.551%53%
9.538%41%
10.527%29%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
GAISwe expect 4.5, league average 4.6 · chance of over 4.5: 46%
Siriuswe expect 4.2, league average 4.3 · chance of over 4.5: 41%
Foulsleague average
Over 21.5 · 71%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 29%over
We expect 25.2 in this match, 21.5 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
20.577%61%
21.571%54%
22.565%47%
23.559%38%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
GAISwe expect 12.2, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 65%
Siriuswe expect 11.4, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 57%
Referee: 23.5 fouls per match on average (21 matches in our data)+3.3 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 63%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 37%
We expect 2.2 in this match, 2.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.564%66%
2.537%44%
3.518%25%
4.57%13%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
GAISwe expect 1.0, league average 1.1 · chance of over 1.5: 26%
Siriuswe expect 1.2, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 33%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • GAIS: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • GAIS: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Sirius: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

GAIS

Sirius

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Sirius23173353:2854
10GAIS2386928:2130
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of GAIS vs Sirius?

GAIS 0-1 Sirius (half time 0-0).

Did the GAIS vs Sirius tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip lost.

See also