AllsvenskanMatchday 24
AIK vs Goteborg: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 10hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS63%54%O2.560%49%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.2
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Goteborg1:2AIKW
- Goteborg2:1AIKL
- AIK3:0GoteborgW
- Goteborg1:2AIKW
- AIK5:2GoteborgW
AIK's record: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss3.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.2under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.4league 3.3under 3.5: 56%Expected yellow cards: 3.4 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 8%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.6total 3.2Attack/defence1.4 : 1.2total 2.6
AIK : GoteborgMost likely scores
Market1-112%1-06%2-18%0-1—1-28%0-0—2-27%Attack/defence1-113%1-010%2-19%0-18%1-28%0-08%2-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%1-01-06%1-010%2-12-18%2-19%0-10-1—0-18%1-21-28%1-28%0-00-0—0-08%2-22-27%2-2—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 82%74% | 74% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%73% | 73% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63%54% | 54% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 62%68% | 68% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 62%59% | 59% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62%73% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60%49% | 49% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40%51% | 51% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38%27% | 27% |
| 1 – AIK win | 37%41% · Elo 41% | 41%· Elo 41% |
| 2 – Goteborg win | 37%32% · Elo 33% | 32%· Elo 33% |
| Both teams to score: no | 37%47% | 47% |
| X – draw | 25%27% · Elo 26% | 27%· Elo 26% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 18%26% | 26% |
Attack vs defence
AIK attack vs Goteborg defenceattack1509defence1518−9 pts to the attack
Goteborg attack vs AIK defenceattack1493defence1475+18 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 63%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 37%over
We expect 9.8 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.574%64%
8.563%53%
9.551%40%
10.539%29%
Each team on its own
AIKwe expect 4.6, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 47%
Goteborgwe expect 5.7, league average 4.3 · chance of over 4.5: 65%
Foulsleague average
Over 21.5 · 50%close to the league averageunder 50%over
We expect 21.9 in this match, 21.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.558%61%
21.550%54%
22.543%47%
23.537%38%
Each team on its own
AIKwe expect 10.8, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 51%
Goteborgwe expect 11.1, league average 10.7 · chance of over 10.5: 54%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 54%close to the league averageunderover 46%
We expect 2.5 in this match, 2.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.571%66%
2.546%44%
3.525%25%
4.511%13%
Each team on its own
AIKwe expect 1.2, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 33%
Goteborgwe expect 1.4, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 39%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- Goteborg5 wins in a rowaway: 2Went on 51%League 35%Model 37%Record 9
Worth knowing before kick-off
- AIK concede 2.2 goals per game
- Goteborg matches average 13.7 corners (league 10.2) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Goteborg: 5 wins in a row
- Goteborg: 22 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 16 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- AIK: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Goteborg: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Goteborg | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 32:41 | 35 |
| 9 | AIK | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 36:40 | 33 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win AIK vs Goteborg?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: AIK win 37%, draw 25%, Goteborg win 37%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in AIK vs Goteborg?
Expected goals: 3.2 (AIK 1.6, Goteborg 1.6). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 60%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in AIK vs Goteborg?
The chance that both teams score is 63%.
When is AIK vs Goteborg?
The Allsvenskan match kicks off 17 October 2026, 16:30 (UK time).