AllsvenskanMatchday 23

AIK 5-6 Brommapojkarna: prediction, tips and result

·

AIK
3-20-01-41-11-2
5-6Full time(half time 0-0)
Brommapojkarna
0-11-32-10-42-0
Stadium:
Strawberry Arena, Solna
Referee:
Adi Aganovic

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won60%

over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

Other tips

  • Fouls – AIK: Over 10.5Won63%

    our numbers for AIK: 12.0 fouls against a league average of 10.9

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost10%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloAIK151443%51%Draw26%25%Brommapojkarna145530%25%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS62%55%O2.560%52%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Brommapojkarna2:2AIKD
  2. AIK2:1BrommapojkarnaW
  3. Brommapojkarna0:1AIKW
  4. AIK2:1BrommapojkarnaW
  5. Brommapojkarna2:2AIKD
AIK's record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 10.2under 10.5: 58%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.2league 3.3under 3.5: 60%Expected yellow cards: 3.2 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 8%.lost · ended 5
RefereeA. Aganovic−0.1 yellow cards vs average14 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)72%O2.51:1coverageleague 66% · H2H 4/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.4total 3.1Attack/defence1.7 : 1.1total 2.8
AIK : Brommapojkarna
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-07%2-19%2-07%1-28%0-1—0-0—Attack/defence1-112%1-010%2-110%2-09%1-2—0-17%0-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-01-07%1-010%2-12-19%2-110%2-02-07%2-09%1-21-28%1-2—0-10-1—0-17%0-00-0—0-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals82%76%76%
12 – no draw73%75%75%
1X – home team avoid defeat69%75%75%
Under 3.5 goals63%70%70%
Both teams to score: yes62%55%55%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals60%52%52%
X2 – away team avoid defeat56%51%51%
1 – AIK win43%50% · Elo 51%50%· Elo 51%
Under 2.5 goals40%48%48%
Both teams to score: no38%45%45%
Over 3.5 goals37%30%30%
2 – Brommapojkarna win30%25% · Elo 25%25%· Elo 25%
X – draw26%25% · Elo 25%25%· Elo 25%
Under 1.5 goals18%24%24%
Attack vs defence
AIK attack vs Brommapojkarna defenceattack1490defence1412+78 pts to the attack
Brommapojkarna attack vs AIK defenceattack1475defence1500−25 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 54%close to the league averageunder 46%over
We expect 9.0 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.566%65%
8.554%53%
9.541%41%
10.530%29%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
AIKwe expect 5.1, league average 4.6 · chance of over 4.5: 56%
Brommapojkarnawe expect 4.0, league average 4.3 · chance of over 4.5: 37%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 59%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 41%
We expect 20.6 in this match, 21.5 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
20.549%61%
21.541%54%
22.535%47%
23.528%38%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
AIKwe expect 12.0, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 63%
Brommapojkarnawe expect 10.4, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 46%
Referee: 17.8 fouls per match on average (20 matches in our data)−3.1 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 54%close to the league averageunderover 46%
We expect 2.5 in this match, 2.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.571%66%
2.546%44%
3.525%25%
4.511%13%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
AIKwe expect 1.1, league average 1.1 · chance of over 1.5: 31%
Brommapojkarnawe expect 1.4, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 41%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

League form

AIK

Brommapojkarna

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9AIK2396836:4033
11Brommapojkarna2386936:4130
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of AIK vs Brommapojkarna?

AIK 5-6 Brommapojkarna (half time 0-0).

Did the AIK vs Brommapojkarna tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.

See also