AllsvenskanMatchday 21

Hammarby 3-1 Brommapojkarna: prediction, tips and result

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Hammarby
3-04-02-02-31-1
3-1Full time(half time 2-1)
Brommapojkarna
2-10-42-03-12-2
Stadium:
3Arena, Stockholm
Referee:
Mohammed Al-Hakim

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Won63%

under 3.5 cards in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (54% of league matches); 2.3 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.1 in the visitors', league average 3.5

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Won71%

    our numbers: 3.7 goals in total in this match, league average 2.9

For the brave
Cards: Under 2.5Won41%

under 2.5 cards in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 10 (33% of league matches); 2.3 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.1 in the visitors', league average 3.5

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloHammarby164881%63%Draw12%20%Brommapojkarna14557%17%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS51%54%O2.571%64%|exp. goals 2.4 : 0.9both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Brommapojkarna1:1HammarbyD
  2. Hammarby3:2BrommapojkarnaW
  3. Brommapojkarna0:2HammarbyW
  4. Hammarby3:3BrommapojkarnaD
  5. Brommapojkarna0:2HammarbyW
Hammarby's record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.6league 10.3under 10.5: 51%Expected corners: 10.6 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards3.1league 3.5under 3.5: 63%Expected cards: 3.1 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 10%.won · ended 1
RefereeM. Al-Hakim−0.7 cards vs average14 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.9 : 0.8total 3.7Attack/defence2.4 : 0.9total 3.3
Hammarby : Brommapojkarna
Most likely scores
Market2-011%3-010%2-18%1-0—1-1—3-18%4-08%Attack/defence2-011%3-09%2-110%1-09%1-18%3-18%4-0—
MarketAttack/defence2-02-011%2-011%3-03-010%3-09%2-12-18%2-110%1-01-0—1-09%1-11-1—1-18%3-13-18%3-18%4-04-08%4-0—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat93%88%88%
12 – no draw88%82%82%
Over 1.5 goals88%84%84%
1 – Hammarby win81%70% · Elo 63%70%· Elo 63%
Over 2.5 goals71%64%64%
Both teams to score: yes51%54%54%
Over 3.5 goals50%42%42%
Under 3.5 goals50%58%58%
Both teams to score: no49%46%46%
Under 2.5 goals29%36%36%
X2 – away team avoid defeat19%30%30%
X – draw12%18% · Elo 20%18%· Elo 20%
Under 1.5 goals12%16%16%
2 – Brommapojkarna win7%12% · Elo 17%12%· Elo 17%
Attack vs defence
Hammarby attack vs Brommapojkarna defenceattack1686defence1417+269 pts to the attack
Brommapojkarna attack vs Hammarby defenceattack1484defence1642−158 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Hammarby score 2.3 goals per game
  • Hammarby: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Brommapojkarna: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Hammarby

Brommapojkarna

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Hammarby23134649:2143
11Brommapojkarna2386936:4130
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Hammarby vs Brommapojkarna?

Hammarby 3-1 Brommapojkarna (half time 2-1).

Did the Hammarby vs Brommapojkarna tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip won.

See also