Challenge LeagueMatchday 11
Yverdon vs Kriens: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 11d 12hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%O2.558%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.2
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Kriens0:2YverdonW
- Yverdon3:2KriensW
- Kriens0:3YverdonW
- Yverdon2:0KriensW
- Kriens0:2YverdonW
Yverdon's record: 5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.3league 9.2under 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 9.3 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.4league 4.4under 4.5: 55%Expected yellow cards: 4.4 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.8 : 1.2total 3.1Attack/defence1.8 : 1.2total 3.0
Yverdon : KriensMost likely scores
Model1-112%2-110%1-07%2-08%1-26%2-2—Attack/defence1-111%2-110%1-09%2-08%1-27%2-26%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-112%1-111%2-12-110%2-110%1-01-07%1-09%2-02-08%2-08%1-21-26%1-27%2-22-2—2-26%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 76%75% | 75% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%76% | 76% |
| 1 – Yverdon win | 51%51% · Elo 60% | 51%· Elo 60% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 49%49% | 49% |
| X – draw | 25%24% · Elo 22% | 24%· Elo 22% |
| 2 – Kriens win | 24%25% · Elo 17% | 25%· Elo 17% |
Attack vs defence
Yverdon attack vs Kriens defenceattack1548defence1501+47 pts to the attack
Kriens attack vs Yverdon defenceattack1492defence1562−70 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 51%close to the league averageunder 49%over
We expect 8.8 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.564%64%
8.551%52%
9.539%42%
10.528%32%
Each team on its own
Yverdonwe expect 4.7, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 50%
Krienswe expect 4.0, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 38%
Foulsleague average
Over 24.5 · 55%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 45%over
We expect 25.7 in this match, 24.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.23.562%52%
24.555%46%
25.549%40%
26.543%32%
Each team on its own
Yverdonwe expect 11.1, league average 12.3 · chance of over 12.5: 34%
Krienswe expect 14.7, league average 12.5 · chance of over 12.5: 68%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 56%close to the league averageunderover 44%
We expect 2.4 in this match, 2.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.570%72%
2.544%44%
3.523%28%
4.510%18%
Each team on its own
Yverdonwe expect 1.4, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 41%
Krienswe expect 1.0, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 25%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Kriens: newly promoted
- Yverdon: 16 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- Kriens: 16 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Yverdon | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 16:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Kriens | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17:12 | 15 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Yverdon vs Kriens?
Yverdon are the favourites. Chances: Yverdon win 51%, draw 25%, Kriens win 24%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Yverdon vs Kriens?
Expected goals: 3.1 (Yverdon 1.8, Kriens 1.2). Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Yverdon vs Kriens?
The Challenge League match kicks off 25 October 2026, 15:30 (UK time).