Challenge LeagueMatchday 9

Kriens 4-1 Etoile Carouge: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Kleinfeld, Kriens
Referee:
Huseyin Sanli

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Lost57%

under 4.5 cards in 5 of the hosts' last 8 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 8 (54% of league matches)

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Lost39%

under 3.5 cards in 5 of the hosts' last 8 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 8 (31% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloKriens128839%37%Draw25%28%Etoile Carouge129037%36%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS67%56%O2.566%52%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 2 meetings
  1. Etoile Carouge2:1KriensL
  2. Kriens1:1Etoile CarougeD
Kriens's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.5 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.2under 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards4.3league 4.6under 4.5: 57%Expected cards: 4.3 in this match, 4.6 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 17%.lost · ended 5
RefereeH. Sanli−0.3 cards vs average16 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.7total 3.4Attack/defence1.5 : 1.3total 2.8
Kriens : Etoile Carouge
Most likely scores
Market1-110%1-05%2-18%1-28%0-1—2-0—2-27%Attack/defence1-112%1-09%2-19%1-28%0-18%2-07%2-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-112%1-01-05%1-09%2-12-18%2-19%1-21-28%1-28%0-10-1—0-18%2-02-0—2-07%2-22-27%2-2—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals86%76%76%
12 – no draw76%74%74%
Both teams to score: yes67%56%56%
Over 2.5 goals66%52%52%
1X – home team avoid defeat64%68%68%
X2 – away team avoid defeat62%58%58%
Under 3.5 goals56%70%70%
Over 3.5 goals44%30%30%
1 – Kriens win39%42% · Elo 37%42%· Elo 37%
2 – Etoile Carouge win37%32% · Elo 36%32%· Elo 36%
Under 2.5 goals34%48%48%
Both teams to score: no33%44%44%
X – draw25%26% · Elo 28%26%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals14%24%24%
Attack vs defence
Kriens attack vs Etoile Carouge defenceattack1475defence1538−63 pts to the attack
Etoile Carouge attack vs Kriens defenceattack1448defence1502−54 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Etoile Carouge matches average only 3.0 cards (league 4.6) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Kriens: newly promoted
  • Kriens: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Etoile Carouge: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Kriens1043317:1215
9Etoile Carouge102358:149
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Kriens vs Etoile Carouge?

Kriens 4-1 Etoile Carouge (half time 2-1).

Did the Kriens vs Etoile Carouge tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip lost.