Super LeagueMatchday 11
Young Boys vs St. Gallen: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 9hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS72%68%O2.577%70%|exp. goals 2.1 : 1.5
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Young Boys1:2St. GallenL
- St. Gallen2:1Young BoysL
- St. Gallen1:4Young BoysW
- Young Boys1:2St. GallenL
- Young Boys1:0St. GallenW
Young Boys's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.3under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.5league 4.5under 4.5: 53%Expected yellow cards: 4.5 in this match, 4.5 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 26%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.5 : 1.5total 4.0Attack/defence2.1 : 1.5total 3.6
Young Boys : St. GallenMost likely scores
Market2-19%1-17%3-17%2-27%1-2—2-06%Attack/defence2-19%1-19%3-17%2-27%1-26%2-06%
MarketAttack/defence2-12-19%2-19%1-11-17%1-19%3-13-17%3-17%2-22-27%2-27%1-21-2—1-26%2-02-06%2-06%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 92%88% | 88% |
| 12 – no draw | 80%79% | 79% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 78%74% | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 77%70% | 70% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 72%68% | 68% |
| 1 – Young Boys win | 58%53% · Elo 49% | 53%· Elo 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 57%49% | 49% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 43%51% | 51% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 42%47% | 47% |
| Both teams to score: no | 28%32% | 32% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 23%30% | 30% |
| 2 – St. Gallen win | 22%26% · Elo 25% | 26%· Elo 25% |
| X – draw | 20%21% · Elo 27% | 21%· Elo 27% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 8%12% | 12% |
Attack vs defence
Young Boys attack vs St. Gallen defenceattack1644defence1556+88 pts to the attack
St. Gallen attack vs Young Boys defenceattack1530defence1524+6 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 9.5 · 56%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 44%over
We expect 10.2 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.567%64%
9.556%48%
10.544%39%
11.533%26%
Each team on its own
Young Boyswe expect 6.0, league average 5.2 · chance of over 5.5: 54%
St. Gallenwe expect 4.6, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 47%
Foulsleague average
Over 23.5 · 56%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 44%over
We expect 24.8 in this match, 23.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.563%51%
23.556%45%
24.550%41%
25.543%37%
Each team on its own
Young Boyswe expect 12.4, league average 11.2 · chance of over 11.5: 56%
St. Gallenwe expect 12.5, league average 12.1 · chance of over 12.5: 48%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 56%close to the league averageunder 44%over
We expect 2.9 in this match, 2.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.579%80%
2.556%54%
3.534%33%
4.518%15%
Each team on its own
Young Boyswe expect 1.6, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 47%
St. Gallenwe expect 1.3, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 38%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
Teams
- Young Boys8 matches in a row over 2.5 goals at homeWent on 60%League 77%Model 77%Record 25
- Young Boys13 matches unbeatenat home: 7Went on 78%League 60%Model 78%Record 28
Players
- Samuel EssendeYoung Boys6 matches with a goal or assist7 goals, 1 assistWent on 42%Season 90%
- Samuel EssendeYoung Boys4 matches with a goal6 goalsWent on 29%Season 70%
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Young Boys score 3.3 goals per game
- Young Boys: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Young Boys: unbeaten in 13 matches
- Young Boys played 0 days ago
- St. Gallen played 0 days ago
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Young Boys | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 4 | St. Gallen | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17:19 | 16 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Young Boys vs St. Gallen?
Young Boys are the favourites. Chances: Young Boys win 58%, draw 20%, St. Gallen win 22%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Young Boys vs St. Gallen?
Expected goals: 4.0 (Young Boys 2.5, St. Gallen 1.5). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 77%. Most likely score: 2-1.
Will both teams score in Young Boys vs St. Gallen?
The chance that both teams score is 72%.
When is Young Boys vs St. Gallen?
The Super League match kicks off 24 October 2026, 19:30 (UK time).