Super LigMatchday 9
Goztep vs Corum: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 11d 10hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%O2.567%59%|exp. goals 2.0 : 1.1
H2Hhome side's goals firstnever met
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.5under 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.3league 4.4under 4.5: 57%Expected yellow cards: 4.3 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.8 : 1.6total 3.4Attack/defence2.0 : 1.1total 3.1
Goztep : CorumMost likely scores
Model1-111%2-19%2-05%1-0—1-28%2-27%3-1—3-0—Attack/defence1-110%2-110%2-09%1-09%1-2—2-2—3-17%3-06%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-111%1-110%2-12-19%2-110%2-02-05%2-09%1-01-0—1-09%1-21-28%1-2—2-22-27%2-2—3-13-1—3-17%3-03-0—3-06%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 87%81% | 81% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%78% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67%59% | 59% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 66%80% | 80% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 59%43% | 43% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 55%63% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45%37% | 37% |
| 1 – Goztep win | 41%57% · Elo 48% | 57%· Elo 48% |
| 2 – Corum win | 34%20% · Elo 25% | 20%· Elo 25% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33%41% | 41% |
| X – draw | 25%22% · Elo 27% | 22%· Elo 27% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 13%19% | 19% |
Attack vs defence
Goztep attack vs Corum defenceattack1570defence1438+132 pts to the attack
Corum attack vs Goztep defenceattack1442defence1498−56 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 60%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 40%over
We expect 9.5 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.572%61%
8.560%50%
9.548%37%
10.536%27%
Each team on its own
Goztepwe expect 5.8, league average 4.8 · chance of over 4.5: 66%
Corumwe expect 4.4, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 62%
Foulsleague average
Under 24.5 · 63%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 37%
We expect 22.9 in this match, 24.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.23.544%58%
24.537%52%
25.531%48%
26.525%41%
Each team on its own
Goztepwe expect 12.1, league average 12.3 · chance of over 12.5: 43%
Corumwe expect 10.6, league average 12.3 · chance of over 12.5: 28%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 51%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 49%over
We expect 3.7 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.571%67%
3.551%44%
4.532%26%
5.518%15%
Each team on its own
Goztepwe expect 2.2, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 64%
Corumwe expect 1.5, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 44%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Goztep concede 2.0 goals per game
- Goztep: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Corum: newly promoted
- Goztep: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Corum: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Corum | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16:12 | 10 |
| 15 | Goztep | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 15:15 | 6 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Goztep vs Corum?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Goztep win 41%, draw 25%, Corum win 34%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Goztep vs Corum?
Expected goals: 3.4 (Goztep 1.8, Corum 1.6). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 67%. Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Goztep vs Corum?
The Super Lig match kicks off 25 October 2026, 16:00 (UK time).