Super LigMatchday 8
Kocaelispor vs Goztep: prediction, tips and stats
·
Our tips
Tip in 4d 7hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%52%O2.548%47%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.3
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Kocaelispor1:1GoztepD
- Goztep0:0KocaelisporD
- Goztep1:2KocaelisporW
- Kocaelispor1:3GoztepL
- Goztep3:0KocaelisporL
Kocaelispor's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.4league 9.5under 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.4 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.3league 4.4under 4.5: 56%Expected yellow cards: 4.3 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.3total 2.6Attack/defence1.3 : 1.3total 2.6
Kocaelispor : GoztepMost likely scores
Market1-113%0-19%1-08%1-28%0-08%2-1—Attack/defence1-113%0-110%1-010%1-28%0-08%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%0-10-19%0-110%1-01-08%1-010%1-21-28%1-28%0-00-08%0-08%2-12-1—2-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 74%72% | 72% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%73% | 73% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73%74% | 74% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 66%64% | 64% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 63%63% | 63% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54%52% | 52% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52%53% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48%47% | 47% |
| Both teams to score: no | 46%48% | 48% |
| 2 – Goztep win | 38%37% · Elo 37% | 37%· Elo 37% |
| 1 – Kocaelispor win | 35%36% · Elo 35% | 36%· Elo 35% |
| X – draw | 28%27% · Elo 28% | 27%· Elo 28% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27%26% | 26% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 26%28% | 28% |
Attack vs defence
Kocaelispor attack vs Goztep defenceattack1389defence1498−109 pts to the attack
Goztep attack vs Kocaelispor defenceattack1570defence1538+32 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 51%close to the league averageunderover 49%
We expect 8.6 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.562%61%
8.549%50%
9.536%37%
10.526%27%
Each team on its own
Kocaelisporwe expect 4.7, league average 4.8 · chance of over 4.5: 49%
Goztepwe expect 3.9, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 54%
Foulsleague average
Under 24.5 · 52%close to the league averageunderover 48%
We expect 24.5 in this match, 24.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.23.555%58%
24.548%52%
25.542%48%
26.535%41%
Each team on its own
Kocaelisporwe expect 10.9, league average 12.3 · chance of over 12.5: 31%
Goztepwe expect 13.6, league average 12.3 · chance of over 12.5: 58%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 65%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 35%
We expect 3.0 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.557%67%
3.535%44%
4.518%26%
5.59%15%
Each team on its own
Kocaelisporwe expect 1.5, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 43%
Goztepwe expect 1.4, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 42%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- Kocaelispor6 matches in a row under 2.5 goals at homeWent on 53%League 41%Model 52%Record 13
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Goztep concede 2.0 goals per game
- Kocaelispor: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Goztep: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Kocaelispor: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Goztep: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Kocaelispor | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8:6 | 12 |
| 15 | Goztep | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 15:15 | 6 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Kocaelispor vs Goztep?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Kocaelispor win 35%, draw 28%, Goztep win 38%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Kocaelispor vs Goztep?
Expected goals: 2.6 (Kocaelispor 1.3, Goztep 1.3). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 48%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Kocaelispor vs Goztep?
The chance that both teams score is 54%.
When is Kocaelispor vs Goztep?
The Super Lig match kicks off 18 October 2026, 14:00 (UK time).