Atlanta Utd 2-1 Sporting Kansas City: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Mercedes‑Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
Referee:
Tori Penso

Our tips

Main tip
Corners: Under 10.5Won61%

under 10.5 corners in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (58% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost10%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloAtlanta Utd131958%51%Draw22%26%Sporting Kansas City127920%23%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%57%O2.563%57%|exp. goals 1.9 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 4 meetings
  1. Atlanta Utd3:1Sporting Kansas CityW
  2. Sporting Kansas City0:3Atlanta UtdW
  3. Atlanta Utd0:2Sporting Kansas CityL
  4. Sporting Kansas City1:1Atlanta UtdD
Atlanta Utd's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 10.0under 10.5: 61%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 8
Cardsleague cards4.3league 4.4under 4.5: 57%Expected cards: 4.3 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 3
RefereeT. Penso−0.2 cards vs average11 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.1 : 1.2total 3.3Attack/defence1.9 : 1.1total 3.0
Atlanta Utd : Sporting Kansas City
Most likely scores
Market1-110%2-110%1-07%2-08%3-17%3-0—Attack/defence1-111%2-110%1-09%2-09%3-16%3-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%2-12-110%2-110%1-01-07%1-09%2-02-08%2-09%3-13-17%3-16%3-03-0—3-06%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals84%80%80%
1X – home team avoid defeat80%79%79%
12 – no draw78%77%77%
Over 2.5 goals63%57%57%
Both teams to score: yes61%57%57%
Under 3.5 goals60%65%65%
1 – Atlanta Utd win58%56% · Elo 51%56%· Elo 51%
X2 – away team avoid defeat42%44%44%
Over 3.5 goals40%35%35%
Both teams to score: no39%43%43%
Under 2.5 goals37%43%43%
X – draw22%23% · Elo 26%23%· Elo 26%
2 – Sporting Kansas City win20%21% · Elo 23%21%· Elo 23%
Under 1.5 goals16%20%20%
Attack vs defence
Atlanta Utd attack vs Sporting Kansas City defenceattack1422defence1337+85 pts to the attack
Sporting Kansas City attack vs Atlanta Utd defenceattack1401defence1466−65 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Sporting Kansas City concede 2.3 goals per game
  • Atlanta Utd: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Sporting Kansas City: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
14Atlanta UtdEastern Conference28761533:4827
15Sporting Kansas CityWestern Conference28641835:6822
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Atlanta Utd vs Sporting Kansas City?

Atlanta Utd 2-1 Sporting Kansas City (half time 2-0).

Did the Atlanta Utd vs Sporting Kansas City tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 10.5. The tip won.