Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Diego FC: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 23hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS69%67%O2.569%66%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.6
H2Hlast 3 meetings
- San Diego FC3:1Los Angeles GalaxyL
- San Diego FC2:1Los Angeles GalaxyL
- Los Angeles Galaxy0:2San Diego FCL
Los Angeles Galaxy's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 10.0under 10.5: 60%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.1league 4.1under 4.5: 61%Expected yellow cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.1 : 1.5total 3.6Attack/defence1.8 : 1.6total 3.4
Los Angeles Galaxy : San Diego FCMost likely scores
Market1-19%2-19%1-27%2-27%3-16%1-0—2-0—Attack/defence1-110%2-19%1-28%2-27%3-1—1-06%2-05%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-110%2-12-19%2-19%1-21-27%1-28%2-22-27%2-27%3-13-16%3-1—1-01-0—1-06%2-02-0—2-05%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 88%85% | 85% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%77% | 77% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 73%66% | 66% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69%66% | 66% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 69%67% | 67% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 52%56% | 56% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 51%58% | 58% |
| 1 – Los Angeles Galaxy win | 49%43% · Elo 41% | 43%· Elo 41% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 48%44% | 44% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 31%34% | 34% |
| Both teams to score: no | 31%33% | 33% |
| 2 – San Diego FC win | 27%34% · Elo 31% | 34%· Elo 31% |
| X – draw | 24%23% · Elo 28% | 23%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 12%15% | 15% |
Attack vs defence
Los Angeles Galaxy attack vs San Diego FC defenceattack1495defence1467+28 pts to the attack
San Diego FC attack vs Los Angeles Galaxy defenceattack1545defence1426+119 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 9.5 · 54%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 46%over
We expect 10.0 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.566%55%
9.554%44%
10.542%33%
11.532%25%
Each team on its own
Los Angeles Galaxywe expect 5.9, league average 5.1 · chance of over 5.5: 52%
San Diego FCwe expect 4.7, league average 4.1 · chance of over 4.5: 49%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 58%close to the league averageunderover 42%
We expect 20.7 in this match, 21.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.549%53%
21.542%46%
22.535%40%
23.529%35%
Each team on its own
Los Angeles Galaxywe expect 10.9, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 52%
San Diego FCwe expect 9.7, league average 10.5 · chance of over 10.5: 39%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 54%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 46%
We expect 3.5 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.567%59%
3.546%39%
4.527%20%
5.514%11%
Each team on its own
Los Angeles Galaxywe expect 2.0, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 59%
San Diego FCwe expect 1.5, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 44%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- San Diego FC concede 2.2 goals per game
- Los Angeles Galaxy concede 2.1 goals per game
- San Diego FC: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Los Angeles Galaxy played 3 days ago
- San Diego FC played 3 days ago
League form
League position
Western Conference
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 39:50 | 36 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 48:51 | 32 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Diego FC?
Los Angeles Galaxy are the favourites. Chances: Los Angeles Galaxy win 49%, draw 24%, San Diego FC win 27%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Diego FC?
Expected goals: 3.6 (Los Angeles Galaxy 2.1, San Diego FC 1.5). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 69%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Diego FC?
The chance that both teams score is 69%.
When is Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Diego FC?
The MLS match kicks off 18 October 2026, 03:30 (UK time).