San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 22hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS65%58%O2.564%55%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.5
H2Hlast 4 meetings
- Nashville SC1:1San Jose EarthquakesD
- San Jose Earthquakes1:1Nashville SCD
- Nashville SC0:0San Jose EarthquakesD
- San Jose Earthquakes2:2Nashville SCD
San Jose Earthquakes's record: 0 wins, 4 draws, 0 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 10.0under 10.5: 58%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.9league 4.1under 4.5: 65%Expected yellow cards: 3.9 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.9total 3.3Attack/defence1.4 : 1.5total 2.9
San Jose Earthquakes : Nashville SCMost likely scores
Market1-111%1-29%2-17%0-1—1-0—2-27%0-27%Attack/defence1-112%1-29%2-18%0-18%1-08%2-2—0-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-21-29%1-29%2-12-17%2-18%0-10-1—0-18%1-01-0—1-08%2-22-27%2-2—0-20-27%0-26%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 85%78% | 78% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%74% | 74% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 72%64% | 64% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 65%58% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64%55% | 55% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 58%68% | 68% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 52%61% | 61% |
| 2 – Nashville SC win | 48%39% · Elo 46% | 39%· Elo 46% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42%32% | 32% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 36%45% | 45% |
| Both teams to score: no | 35%42% | 42% |
| 1 – San Jose Earthquakes win | 28%36% · Elo 27% | 36%· Elo 27% |
| X – draw | 24%26% · Elo 27% | 26%· Elo 27% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 15%22% | 22% |
Attack vs defence
San Jose Earthquakes attack vs Nashville SC defenceattack1517defence1624−107 pts to the attack
Nashville SC attack vs San Jose Earthquakes defenceattack1546defence1473+73 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 54%close to the league averageunderover 46%
We expect 9.4 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.559%55%
9.546%44%
10.535%33%
11.525%25%
Each team on its own
San Jose Earthquakeswe expect 4.5, league average 5.1 · chance of over 5.5: 31%
Nashville SCwe expect 4.9, league average 4.1 · chance of over 4.5: 52%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 54%close to the league averageunderover 46%
We expect 21.3 in this match, 21.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.554%53%
21.546%46%
22.539%40%
23.533%35%
Each team on its own
San Jose Earthquakeswe expect 10.1, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 43%
Nashville SCwe expect 11.2, league average 10.5 · chance of over 10.5: 55%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 55%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 45%over
We expect 3.9 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.574%59%
3.555%39%
4.535%20%
5.521%11%
Each team on its own
San Jose Earthquakeswe expect 1.4, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 40%
Nashville SCwe expect 2.6, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 71%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Nashville SC score 2.4 goals per game
- Nashville SC: 23 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 17 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- San Jose Earthquakes played 3 days ago
- Nashville SC played 3 days ago
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | San Jose EarthquakesWestern Conference | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 50:40 | 46 |
| 1 | Nashville SCEastern Conference | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 59:22 | 63 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC?
Nashville SC are the favourites. Chances: San Jose Earthquakes win 28%, draw 24%, Nashville SC win 48%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC?
Expected goals: 3.3 (San Jose Earthquakes 1.4, Nashville SC 1.9). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 64%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC?
The chance that both teams score is 65%.
When is San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC?
The MLS match kicks off 18 October 2026, 03:30 (UK time).