Colorado Springs Sw. vs Tulsa: prediction, tips and stats

Sunday 25 October · 01:00

Colorado Springs Sw.

2-1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1-1

1.3:1.0Pre-match

Tulsa

0-0 1-1 1-0 1-1 2-2

Our tips

Tip in 10d 18h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.

The match in numbers

1X2EloColorado Springs Sw.148738%36%Draw28%28%Tulsa154934%36%

Goalsattack/defenceBTTS47%O2.541%40%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.0

H2Hlast 5 meetings

21/06/202621/06/26Tulsa1:2Colorado Springs Sw.W
02/11/202502/11/25Tulsa0:0Colorado Springs Sw.D
26/10/202526/10/25Tulsa3:0Colorado Springs Sw.L
31/08/202531/08/25Colorado Springs Sw.2:0TulsaW
01/09/202401/09/24Tulsa1:4Colorado Springs Sw.W

Colorado Springs Sw.'s record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.6 goals per match

Cornersleague corners9.0league 9.2under 9.5: 59%Expected corners: 9.0 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.

Yellow cardsleague yellows4.1league 4.2under 4.5: 60%Expected yellow cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.2 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.

Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams

Expected goals

Model1.2 : 1.1total 2.3Attack/defence1.3 : 1.0total 2.3

Colorado Springs Sw. : Tulsa

Most likely scores

Model1-113%1-012%0-111%0-010%2-18%2-0—Attack/defence1-114%1-012%0-110%0-011%2-18%2-08%

ModelAttack/defence1-11-113%1-114%1-01-012%1-012%0-10-111%0-110%0-00-010%0-011%2-12-18%2-18%2-02-0—2-08%

Outcome	Model	Attack/defence
Under 3.5 goals	80%80%	80%
12 – no draw	72%71%	71%
Over 1.5 goals	67%67%	67%
1X – home team avoid defeat	66%70%	70%
X2 – away team avoid defeat	62%59%	59%
Under 2.5 goals	59%60%	60%
Over 2.5 goals	41%40%	40%
1 – Colorado Springs Sw. win	38%41% · Elo 36%	41%· Elo 36%
2 – Tulsa win	34%30% · Elo 36%	30%· Elo 36%
Under 1.5 goals	33%33%	33%
X – draw	28%29% · Elo 28%	29%· Elo 28%
Over 3.5 goals	20%20%	20%

Attack vs defence

Colorado Springs Sw. attack vs Tulsa defenceattack1535defence1606−71 pts to the attack

Tulsa attack vs Colorado Springs Sw. defenceattack1479defence1521−42 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average

Under 8.5 · 61%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 39%

We expect 7.9 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.

LineChance of overLeague

7.552%51%

8.539%34%

9.527%28%

10.518%24%

Both teams combined. Main line in bold.

Each team on its own

Colorado Springs Sw.we expect 4.9, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 54%

Tulsawe expect 3.0, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 34%

Foulsleague average

Over 22.5 · 60%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 40%over

We expect 24.4 in this match, 22.6 on average in the league.

LineChance of overLeague

21.567%63%

22.560%52%

23.554%46%

24.547%41%

Both teams combined. Main line in bold.

Each team on its own

Colorado Springs Sw.we expect 11.4, league average 11.0 · chance of over 11.5: 46%

Tulsawe expect 13.2, league average 11.6 · chance of over 11.5: 65%

Offsidesleague average

Over 2.5 · 58%close to the league averageunder 42%over

We expect 3.0 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.

LineChance of overLeague

1.580%70%

2.558%55%

3.536%39%

4.519%17%

Both teams combined. Main line in bold.

Each team on its own

Colorado Springs Sw.we expect 1.4, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 40%

Tulsawe expect 1.6, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 48%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

League form